Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
3 : 3
HT 2 - 0
1st leg 0-1 · Aggregate 3-4
AI прогноза Red Bull Salzburg или равен
27%
27%
46%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: Sportiko gives Pafos a 27% chance of winning, Red Bull Salzburg 46% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 18:53.

Premium прогнози

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  • Под 3.5 гола 74%
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Match Report

Pafos produced a stunning comeback to hold Red Bull Salzburg to a 3–3 draw in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, overturning a two-goal deficit in a dramatic second half in Cyprus.

The hosts looked in control at the break, having scored through an unnamed effort in the 15th minute and Biel's goal just before half-time to lead 2–0. Salzburg regrouped after the interval, however, and substitute Haris Tabaković proved the decisive influence, completing a remarkable hat-trick with goals in the 54th and 58th minutes — the latter from the penalty spot — before adding a third in the 70th minute to put Salzburg 3–2 ahead. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Salzburg win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that looked well-founded as Tabaković's treble swung the tie.

Pafos refused to capitulate, however, and levelled through an 84th-minute goal to snatch a share of the spoils. Tabaković had been withdrawn moments earlier, and Salzburg were unable to hold on despite a flurry of late substitutions from both sides.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

15' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 36'
Nikolas Veratschnig Yellow Card
Biel
37' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
⇄ 46'
Sota Kitano
Yellow Card
48' ▮
⚽ 2–1 54'
Haris Tabaković assist: Damir Redzic
⚽ 2–2 58'
Haris Tabaković Penalty
Gonçalo Rodrigues ⇄ Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu
61' ⇄
⚽ 2–3 70'
Haris Tabaković
⇄ 75'
Haris Tabaković ⇄ Karim Konaté
Ivan Šunjić
75' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Yorbe Vertessen ⇄ Tim Drexler
⇄ 82'
Nikolas Veratschnig ⇄ Leandro Morgalla
82' ⇄
84' ⚽ 3–3
⇄ 86'
Damir Redzic ⇄ Frans Krätzig
FT 3–3
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Red Bull Salzburg или равен
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Pafos
LWDWW
Red Bull Salzburg
WWDWW
Last 1 meetings Pafos · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
27%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Pafos

No scorer data.

Red Bull Salzburg
H. Tabaković 1 gls

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Head to Head: Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg

0 Pafos Wins
0 Draws
1 Red Bull Salzburg Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Aug 2026 Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 0 Pafos

Pafos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H AEL L 0 - 2
13 Sep A AEK Larnaca W 0 - 1
07 Sep H Olympiakos D 0 - 0
03 Sep A Omonia Nicosia W 0 - 1
30 Aug A Karmiotissa W 0 - 3

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Sturm Graz W 3 - 0
17 Sep A Levski Sofia W 0 - 1
11 Sep A Ried D 1 - 1
06 Sep A SKN ST. Polten W 0 - 3
02 Sep H Rapid Vienna W 5 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Juventus
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 +4 3
3
Sparta Praha
1 1 0 0 +3 3
4
Beşiktaş
1 1 0 0 +3 3
5
Union St. Gilloise
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
Ferencvarosi TC
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Benfica
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
OFI
1 1 0 0 +2 3
10
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Lyon
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Torreense
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Red Bull Salzburg
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
Omonia Nicosia
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
Sturm Graz
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Rennes
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Lillestrom
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Celta Vigo
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
AZ Alkmaar
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Celtic
1 0 0 1 -2 0
29
1899 Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
Celje
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
Marseille
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 -3 0
34
Plzen
1 0 0 1 -3 0
35
Lech Poznan
1 0 0 1 -4 0
36
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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