Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction
Celje vs Ararat-Armenia prediction: Sportiko gives Celje a 57% chance of winning, Ararat-Armenia 17% and the draw 26%. Last updated 11 Aug 2026, 20:10.
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Match Report
Celje secured a 2–0 victory over Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round, with both goals arriving late to settle a tight contest. The first half ended goalless and the match remained level deep into the second period, with neither side able to find a breakthrough despite a combined nine yellow cards reflecting the competitive nature of the tie.
The deadlock was finally broken in the 83rd minute when Yaya Dukuly scored for Celje, and a second goal followed just two minutes later to effectively end the contest. Ararat had actually posed the greater threat on paper, registering eight shots on target to Celje's three and earning 12 corner kicks compared to the hosts' nine, yet the Slovenian side's clinical finishing proved the decisive factor.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celje win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that proved correct. Despite the even possession split and Ararat's superior shot count, Celje held firm and converted their limited opportunities when it mattered most to advance in the competition.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Celje
Match Stats
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug 2026 | Ararat-Armenia | 2 - 1 | Celje |
| 24 Sep 2020 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 - 0 | Celje |
Celje — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Mura | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Bravo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Koper | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | A Aluminij | W | 0 - 2 |
Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Shirak | W | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | H Sparta Praha | L | 1 - 4 |
| 11 Sep | H Syunik | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Ararat | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Pyunik Yerevan | L | 2 - 1 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Ararat-Armenia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Tulipa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | João Bravim | G |
| 3 | Junior Julio | D |
| 43 | Bruno Wilson | D |
| 47 | Alexandros Malis | D |
| 16 | Edgar Grigoryan | D |
| 2 | Hugo Oliveira | D |
| 19 | Karen Muradyan | M |
| 20 | Alwyn Tera | M |
| 77 | Artur Serobyan | M |
| 91 | Sandro Lima | F |
| 11 | Zidane Banjaqui | M |
Substitutes
| 1 | Arman Nersesyan | G |
| 5 | Luís Felipe | D |
| 14 | Bruno Pereira | D |
| 6 | Michel Ayvazyan | M |
| 7 | Zhirayr Shaghoyan | M |
| 8 | Juan Balanta | M |
| 95 | Carlos França | M |
| 70 | Bernardo Dias | M |
| 17 | Maxence Carlier | M |
| 9 | Arayik Eloyan | F |
| 25 | Alioune Ndour | F |
| 90 | Paul Ayongo | F |
Celje
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Vitor Campelos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žan-Luk Leban | G |
| 2 | Pijus Širvys | D |
| 4 | Darko Hrka | M |
| 6 | Artemijus Tutyškinas | D |
| 33 | Leonardo Koutris | D |
| 8 | Mario Kvesić | M |
| 19 | Mark Zabukovnik | M |
| 10 | Svit Sešlar | M |
| 77 | Matic Ivanšek | M |
| 47 | Armandas Kučys | F |
| 11 | Milot Avdyli | M |
Substitutes
| 7 | Benjamin Verbič | M |
| 12 | Luka Kolar | G |
| 23 | Žiga Frelih | G |
| 3 | Damjan Vuklišević | D |
| 20 | Alpha Diounkou | D |
| 27 | Ivan Ćalušić | D |
| 25 | Veton Tusha | M |
| 91 | Yaya Dukuly | M |
| 94 | Rudi Požeg Vancaš | M |
| 17 | Andrej Kotnik | F |
| 99 | Matej Poplatnik | F |