Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

CSKA Sofia

Away

AI прогноза Maccabi Tel Aviv или равен

37%

28%

35%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 37% chance of winning, CSKA Sofia 35% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 17:55.

Match Report

CSKA Sofia produced a commanding away performance to eliminate Maccabi Tel Aviv from the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, winning 3–0 in a result that was never seriously in doubt.

The Bulgarian side took control early, scoring in the ninth minute before doubling their advantage in the 29th, leaving the hosts with a mountain to climb at the break. Maccabi struggled to create meaningful chances throughout, managing just two shots on goal compared to CSKA's seven, and a series of yellow cards — six in total across both sides — reflected an increasingly frustrated home team unable to find a way back into the contest.

Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with multiple substitutions on either side, but it was CSKA who had the final say, adding a third goal deep in stoppage time to seal a thoroughly deserved victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Maccabi win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Sofia advance to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

▮ 18'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 29'

Yellow Card

31' ▮

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

66' ⇄

Hélio Varela

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

86' ▮

⚽ 0–3 90'

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

FT 0–3

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia

49% Ball Possession 51%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

2 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 6

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 0

21 Fouls 17

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Maccabi Tel Aviv или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Maccabi Tel Aviv

WWWWD

CSKA Sofia

DWWWD

Last 1 meetings Maccabi Tel Aviv · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League clash, Maccabi Tel Aviv faces CSKA Sofia. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown a strong home record in recent seasons, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match at home. Conversely, CSKA Sofia's away form has been more inconsistent, with a 1.4 goals per match average in their last five away fixtures. The match will likely hinge on Maccabi's ability to control the game and exploit defensive gaps in CSKA's lineup. Defensive solidity from CSKA will be critical to mitigate Maccabi's offensive threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Maccabi Tel Aviv goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No scorer data.

CSKA Sofia

Bruno Jordão 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	9.8%	9.5%	5.3%	2.2%
1	5.4%	13.1%	9.8%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.6%	6.0%	5.0%	2.8%	1.2%
3	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv	11.3%	3.7%	2.2%
Draw	9.5%	17.0%	17.4%
CSKA Sofia	1.7%	4.6%	32.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Wins

0 Draws

0 CSKA Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	CSKA Sofia	1 - 3	Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maccabi Netanya	W	1 - 2
14 Sep	H Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	4 - 1
07 Sep	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	W	1 - 4
31 Aug	H Maccabi Haifa	W	3 - 1
27 Aug	H FC Lugano	D	1 - 1

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Arda Kardzhali	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Kenny Miller

22 Melika

25 Rosen

13 Shlomo

5 Camara

41 Hamo

36 Shahar

30 Noy

29 Varela

42 Peretz

28 Sissokho

34 Farchi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Ofek Melika	G
41	Itai Ben Hamo	D
5	Mohamed Camara	D
13	Raz Shlomo	D
25	Shahar Rosen	D
30	Itamar Noy	M
36	Ido Shahar	M
28	Issouf Sissokho	M
42	Dor Peretz	M
29	Hélio Varela	M
34	Saied Abu Farchi	F

Substitutes

6	Tyrese Asante	D
21	Noam Ben Harosh	D
77	Osher Davida	M
9	Ester Sokler	F
90	Roi Mishpati	G
24	Noam Schwartz	D
10	Kervin Andrade	M
18	Dan Glazer	M
59	Lotem Asres	M
60	Ilay Ben Simon	M
19	Elad Madmon	F
23	Ori Azo	F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hristo Yanev

21 Lapoukhov

17 Martino

32 Rodríguez

14 Ivanov

2 Pastor

8 Sensi

6 Jordão

7 Ebong

28 Pittas

9 Godoy

5 Gbamin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	Fedor Lapoukhov	G
2	Pastor	D
14	Teodor Ivanov	D
32	Facundo Rodríguez	D
17	Ángelo Martino	D
7	Max Ebong	M
6	Bruno Jordão	M
8	Stefano Sensi	M
5	Jean-Philippe Gbamin	D
9	Leandro Godoy	F
28	Ioannis Pittas	F

Substitutes

99	James Eto'o	M
10	Joël Zwarts	F
25	Dimitar Evtimov	G
19	Andrey Yordanov	D
91	Aleks Tunchev	D
11	Mohamed Amine Brahimi	M
30	Petko Panayotov	M
34	Vasil Kaymakanov	M
38	Léo Pereira	M
77	Alejandro Piedrahita	M
80	Georgi Chorbadzhiyski	M
94	Isaac Solet	M