Drogheda United vs Dundalk Prediction
FT
AI прогноза
Dundalk или равен
27%
29%
45%
Победа за домакина
Равенство
Победа на гостите
Drogheda United vs Dundalk prediction: Sportiko gives Drogheda United a 27% chance of winning, Dundalk 45% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Aug 2026, 20:57.
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Timeline
▮
8'
Bobby Burns
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
25'
Cian Dillon
assist: Daryl Horgan
Keegan Ancelin
assist: Edwin Agbaje
32'
⚽
1–1
Brandon Kavanagh
35'
⚽
2–1
HT 2–1
⇄
46'
T. Clarke
⇄ Ronan Teahan
▮
50'
Egor Vassenin
Yellow Card
▮
55'
Tom Grivosti
Yellow Card
Shane Farell
Yellow Card
56'
▮
⇄
56'
Harry Groome
⇄ Shane Tracey
⇄
57'
Keith Buckley
⇄ Aodh Dervin
⇄
64'
Leonardo Gaxha
⇄ Declan McDaid
⚽
2–2
67'
Ronan Teahan
assist: Tom Grivosti
Alfie Bates
⇄ Ethan O'Brien
70'
⇄
Shane Farell
⇄ Ryan Brennan
70'
⇄
Mark Doyle
⇄ Warren Davis
73'
⇄
Keegan Ancelin
⇄ Thomas Oluwa
77'
⇄
Andrew Quinn
⇄ Jason Bucknor
77'
⇄
Ethan O'Brien
Yellow Card
88'
▮
⚽
2–3
89'
Daryl Horgan
⇄
90+1'
Bobby Burns
⇄ Robert Cornwall
FT 2–3
Drogheda United
Match Stats
Dundalk
42%
Ball Possession
58%
1.76
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
13
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
7
4
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
10
2
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
4
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
244
Total passes
327
145
Passes accurate
210
59%
Passes %
64%
-0.91
goals_prevented
-0.91
Drogheda United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Brandon Kavanagh M | 9.2 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| 9 Keegan Ancelin F | 7.5 | 77' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 2 Edwin Agbaje M | 7.2 | 94' | – | 1 | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 17 Shane Farell M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 3 Conor Kane M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 1 |
| 15 Alfie Bates M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 16 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 Ryan Brennan M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 1 Luke Dennison G | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 35 (16%) | – |
| 11 Thomas Oluwa F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 8 (3%) | – |
| 24 Warren Davis F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 7 Jason Bucknor D | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 22 Conor Keeley D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 25 (10%) | – |
| 8 Ethan O'Brien M | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 14 Mark Doyle F | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 18 James Bolger D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 22 (13%) | 2 |
| 4 Andrew Quinn D | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 12 (6%) | – |
Dundalk
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Daryl Horgan M | 8.9 | 94' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 (14%) | – |
| 11 Ronan Teahan M | 7.0 | 49' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 1 |
| 4 M. Animasahun D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 27 (22%) | – |
| 18 Keith Buckley M | 6.9 | 57' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
| 17 Shane Tracey M | 6.7 | 38' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 8 Harry Groome M | 6.7 | 56' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 15 T. Clarke M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Enda Minogue G | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 28 (9%) | – |
| 3 Bobby Burns D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (20%) | 1 |
| 6 Aodh Dervin M | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | – |
| 44 Tom Grivosti D | 6.3 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 39 (27%) | 1 |
| 9 Cian Dillon F | 6.3 | 94' | 1 | – | 3 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 27 Declan McDaid M | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 16 Egor Vassenin D | 5.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | – |
| 10 Leonardo Gaxha M | 5.5 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 17 (11%) | – |
| 24 Robert Cornwall D | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Нашият анализ
Dundalk или равен
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Drogheda United
LWWLL
Dundalk
LLDLW
Last 1 meetings
Drogheda United · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
27%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
45%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Drogheda United
M. Doyle
8 gls
Dundalk
D. Horgan
10 gls
G. Arubi
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Drogheda United vs Dundalk
1
Drogheda United Wins
0
Draws
0
Dundalk Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2026 | Dundalk | 1 - 2 | Drogheda United |
Drogheda United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Bohemians | L | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Shelbourne | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Sligo Rovers | W | 2 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | H Galway United | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Dundalk | L | 2 - 3 |
Dundalk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Shelbourne | L | 2 - 3 |
| 14 Sep | H St Patrick's Athl. | L | 0 - 4 |
| 11 Sep | A Waterford | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Derry City | L | 4 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Drogheda United | W | 2 - 3 |
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 |
| 2 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 |
Derry City
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 |
| 5 |
Dundalk
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 |
Shelbourne
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 |
Galway United
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 37 |
| 8 |
Waterford
|
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 |
Drogheda United
|
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
Dundalk
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
1
Minogue
3
Burns
16
Vassenin
4
Animasahun
44
Grivosti
8
Groome
18
Buckley
7
Horgan
10
Gaxha
15
Clarke
9
Dillon
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enda Minogue | G |
| 44 | Tom Grivosti | D |
| 4 | Mayowa Animasahun | D |
| 16 | Egor Vassenin | D |
| 3 | Bobby Burns | D |
| 18 | Keith Buckley | M |
| 8 | Harry Groome | M |
| 15 | Trevor Clarke | M |
| 10 | Leonardo Gaxha | M |
| 7 | Daryl Horgan | M |
| 9 | Cian Dillon | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Ronan Teahan | M |
| 17 | Shane Tracey | M |
| 6 | Aodh Dervin | M |
| 20 | Samuel Safaei | G |
| 13 | Peter Cherrie | G |
| 24 | Robert Cornwall | D |
| 12 | Luke Mulligan | D |
| 27 | Declan McDaid | M |
| 23 | Aaron Keogh | M |
Drogheda United
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Kevin Doherty
1
Dennison
18
Bolger
22
Keeley
4
Quinn
3
Kane
15
Bates
10
Kavanagh
17
Farell
2
Agbaje
14
Doyle
9
Ancelin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luke Dennison | G |
| 4 | Andrew Quinn | D |
| 22 | Conor Keeley | D |
| 18 | James Bolger | D |
| 2 | Edwin Agbaje | M |
| 17 | Shane Farell | M |
| 10 | Brandon Kavanagh | M |
| 15 | Alfie Bates | M |
| 3 | Conor Kane | M |
| 9 | Keegan Ancelin | F |
| 14 | Mark Doyle | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Fynn Talley | G |
| 7 | Jason Bucknor | D |
| 5 | Leo Burney | D |
| 31 | Kieran Cruise | D |
| 19 | Ryan Brennan | M |
| 8 | Ethan O'Brien | M |
| 6 | Jago Godden | M |
| 11 | Thomas Oluwa | F |
| 24 | Warren Davis | F |