Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 4

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Cherno More Varna

Home

2 : 3

HT 1 - 0

Ludogorets

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Ludogorets

15%

25%

60%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets prediction: Sportiko gives Cherno More Varna a 15% chance of winning, Ludogorets 60% and the draw 25%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 17:56.

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Над 1.5 гола 70%

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Timeline

▮ 28'

Anton Nedyalkov Yellow Card

30' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

34' ▮

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Petar Stanić

⚽ 1–1 48'

Rwan Cruz

⚽ 1–2 51'

Rwan Cruz

⚽ 1–3 53'

Ivajlo Chochev

63' ⇄

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Joel Andersson

Yellow Card

68' ▮

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

Rwan Cruz ⇄ Kwadwo Duah

77' ⇄

Yellow Card

82' ▮

84' ⚽ 2–3

⇄ 87'

Bernard Tekpetey ⇄ Deroy Duarte

FT 2–3

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Отключи пълния AI анализ за Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Ludogorets

Most likely score

0:2 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Cherno More Varna

DDLLW

Ludogorets

WWDDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

60%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ludogorets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	16	10	5	2
1	4	10	8	5	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Cherno More Varna goals · most likely 0–2 (16.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

89% Away (No Draw) 11% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	16.0%	16.3%	10.3%	4.9%
1	3.5%	10.1%	8.5%	5.4%	2.5%
2	1.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.4%	0.7%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cherno More Varna	Draw	Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna	4.2%	2.2%	1.3%
Draw	4.0%	15.6%	19.1%
Ludogorets	0.5%	3.0%	50.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

59%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Cherno More Varna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Arda Kardzhali	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Dunav Ruse	W	3 - 1

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
14 Sep	H Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Botev Plovdiv	W	2 - 0

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: T. Reis

39 Bonmann

42 Shishkov

3 Nedyalkov

15 Kurtulus

2 Andersson

26 Kaloč

18 Chochev

37 Tekpetey

14 Stanić

7 Salido

12 Cruz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Hendrik Bonmann	G
2	Joel Andersson	D
15	Edvin Kurtulus	D
3	Anton Nedyalkov	D
42	Simeon Shishkov	D
18	Ivajlo Chochev	M
26	Filip Kaloč	M
7	Alberto Salido	F
14	Petar Stanić	M
37	Bernard Tekpetey	M
12	Rwan Cruz	F

Substitutes

20	Aguibou Camara	M
10	Nathan Fernandes	F
22	Mihail Polendakov	D
9	Kwadwo Duah	F
1	Sergio Padt	G
24	Olivier Verdon	D
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
23	Deroy Duarte	M
40	Aleksandar Marinov	M
82	Ivan Yordanov	M
29	Yves Erick Bile	F

Cherno More Varna

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Ilian Iliev

81 Tomov

26 Bandaro

5 Squadrone

3 Atanasov

13 Nyagolov

11 Achi

24 Teles

71 Panayotov

50 Tombak

20 Kolev

19 Lazarov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
81	Kristian Tomov	G
3	Zhivko Atanasov	D
5	Luciano Squadrone	D
26	João Bandaro	D
50	Ertan Tombak	D
71	Vasil Panayotov	M
24	David Teles	M
11	Mohamed Achi	M
13	Emanuil Nyagolov	D
19	Georgi Lazarov	F
20	Aleksandar Kolev	F

Substitutes

29	Berk Beyhan	M
39	Nikolay Zlatev	M
10	Celso Sidney	F
31	Damyan Hristov	G
37	Ventsislav Kerchev	D
93	Georgi Ventsislavov	D
23	Martin Banev	M
99	Idris Bounaas	M
22	Nikolay Petrov Kostadinov	M
14	Aleksandar Todorov	M
9	Jorge Padilla	F