Rochdale vs Accrington ST Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 13

24 Oct 2026, 14:00

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Accrington ST

Away

AI прогноза Rochdale to win or draw

76%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Rochdale vs Accrington ST prediction: Sportiko gives Rochdale a 76% chance of winning, Accrington ST 5% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.5%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Rochdale

DWDLW

Accrington ST

DDLWD

Match summary

Rochdale faces Accrington Stanley in an intriguing League Two clash. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Rochdale recording a 40% win rate in their last five matches, while Accrington sits slightly lower at 33%. Key to this matchup will be Rochdale's defensive resilience, allowing just 1.2 goals per game on average, compared to Accrington's 1.5. Set pieces could be decisive, as both sides have struggled to defend them effectively. This contest promises to be tightly contested, with both teams aiming to solidify their mid-table standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Accrington ST goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2	1
1	17	8	1
2	18	7	1
3	13	5	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Rochdale goals · most likely 2–0 (18.5%)

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Players in form

Rochdale

No scorer data.

Accrington ST

C. Caton 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.8%	8.0%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.5%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.8%	5.1%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.7%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rochdale	Draw	Accrington ST
Rochdale	51.7%	1.9%	0.3%
Draw	23.7%	13.6%	2.5%
Accrington ST	1.6%	1.9%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rochdale vs Accrington ST

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Rochdale — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Liverpool U21	D	3 - 3
19 Sep	H Oldham	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Walsall	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Gillingham	L	1 - 4
01 Sep	H Shrewsbury	W	3 - 0

Accrington ST — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Sunderland U21	D	3 - 3
19 Sep	H Newport County	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Barnet	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Crawley Town	W	3 - 2
01 Sep	H Grimsby	D	2 - 2

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.