Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers Prediction

League Two · Regular Season - 7

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Gillingham

Home

3 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Bristol Rovers

Away

Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent

AI прогноза Bristol Rovers или равен

28%

29%

44%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Gillingham a 28% chance of winning, Bristol Rovers 44% and the draw 29%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

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Timeline

HT 0–0

James Brophy assist: Harry Waldock

55' ⚽ 1–0

Ronan Hale ⇄ G. McCleary

62' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Bobby Kamwa ⇄ Fabrizio Cavegn

▮ 65'

Ellis Harrison Yellow Card

▮ 68'

Kofi Balmer Yellow Card

⇄ 72'

Shaqai Forde ⇄ Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny

Lamin Sillah ⇄ Will Goodwin

75' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Ellis Harrison ⇄ Joe Quigley

E. King ⇄ Michael Luxton

83' ⇄

Harry Waldock ⇄ Sheldon Kendall

83' ⇄

Sheldon Kendall assist: Nick Freeman

85' ⚽ 2–0

Sheldon Kendall

89' ⚽ 3–0

FT 3–0

Gillingham

Match Stats

Bristol Rovers

54% Ball Possession 46%

10 Total Shots 8

6 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 3

4 Shots outsidebox 5

2 Corner Kicks 1

3 Offsides 4

8 Fouls 8

0 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

351 Total passes 309

224 Passes accurate 177

9 Free Kicks 8

Gillingham

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Sheldon Kendall M	8.5	7'	2	–	3	–	–
16 James Brophy M	8.2	90'	1	–	1	22 (18%)	5
24 Harry Waldock M	7.3	83'	–	1	–	26 (12%)	2
9 Will Goodwin F	7.0	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
22 Nick Freeman M	6.9	90'	–	1	–	35 (24%)	1
10 Ronan Hale M	6.9	62'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	–
27 Michael Luxton M	6.8	7'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
12 G. McCleary M	6.8	28'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
26 Logan Dobbs D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	41 (28%)	1
5 Andy Smith D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (22%)	3
19 Omar Beckles D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	34 (21%)	1
1 O. Wright G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (18%)	–
11 Lamin Sillah F	6.3	75'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	2
14 Robbie McKenzie M	6.3	90'	–	–	3	29 (19%)	–
34 E. King M	6.1	83'	–	–	–	43 (25%)	1

Bristol Rovers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Tom James D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	27 (24%)	–
9 Joe Quigley F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
29 Fabrizio Cavegn F	6.2	26'	–	–	–	1	–
7 Shaqai Forde M	6.1	72'	–	–	2	17 (10%)	1
19 Ellis Harrison F	6.1	80'	–	–	–	19 (10%)	1
21 Richard Smallwood M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	41 (30%)	3
10 Bobby Kamwa M	6.0	64'	–	–	1	12 (8%)	2
11 Jack Aitchison M	5.9	90'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	2
14 Ben Purrington D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	36 (9%)	3
17 Ciaran Kelly D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	32 (17%)	2
1 Brad Young G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	31 (9%)	–
4 Kofi Balmer D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	2
8 Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny M	5.6	18'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
6 Clinton Mola M	5.4	90'	–	–	–	32 (17%)	3

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Bristol Rovers или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Gillingham

LWWWD

Bristol Rovers

LLWWW

Last 1 meetings Gillingham · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

89' Goal 85% sure

Gillingham now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

85' Goal 85% sure

Gillingham now leads 2-0 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 13.9%.

85' time check 80% sure

Min 85: Gillingham leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.7%. Comeback chance: 0.3%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Gillingham leads 1-0. Win probability: 82.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 17.6%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Gillingham win: 69.7%. BTTS: 43.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bristol Rovers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	4	2
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Gillingham goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Gillingham

J. Brophy 3 gls

Bristol Rovers

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.7%	7.8%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.3%	13.7%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.7%	7.1%	5.5%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.8%	2.8%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gillingham	Draw	Bristol Rovers
Gillingham	14.0%	3.7%	2.0%
Draw	12.4%	17.7%	15.3%
Bristol Rovers	2.3%	5.2%	27.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers

0 Gillingham Wins

0 Draws

1 Bristol Rovers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Gillingham	1 - 2	Bristol Rovers

Gillingham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Cambridge United	L	1 - 4
19 Sep	H Bristol Rovers	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Tranmere	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Rochdale	W	1 - 4
01 Sep	A Chesterfield	D	1 - 1

Bristol Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Gillingham	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Grimsby	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Rotherham	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	H Colchester	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Crawley Town	W	0 - 2

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4