Derby vs Cardiff Prediction
FT
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
AI прогноза
Derby или равен
40%
27%
33%
Победа за домакина
Равенство
Победа на гостите
Derby vs Cardiff prediction: Sportiko gives Derby a 40% chance of winning, Cardiff 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:57.
Premium прогнози
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
- Домакинът да вкара 71%
Premium членовете имаха тези прогнози преди началото на мача.
Виж Premium анализите
Timeline
Corey Blackett-Taylor
Yellow Card
9'
▮
⚽
0–1
19'
Cian Ashford
assist: Ronan Kpakio
Carlton Morris
assist: Bobby Clark
26'
⚽
1–1
⚽
1–2
39'
Yousef Salech
assist: Rubin Colwill
HT 1–2
Bobby Clark
49'
⚽
2–2
▮
53'
Alex Robertson
Yellow Card
Oscar Fraulo
Yellow Card
55'
▮
⇄
59'
Rubin Colwill
⇄ David Turnbull
⇄
59'
Cian Ashford
⇄ Chris Willock
Lewis Travis
Yellow Card
60'
▮
Oscar Fraulo
⇄ Ryan Hedges
64'
⇄
Corey Blackett-Taylor
⇄ Rhian Brewster
65'
⇄
⇄
71'
Jack Moylan
⇄ Joel Colwill
⇄
71'
Ollie Tanner
⇄ Isaak Davies
Max Johnston
Yellow Card
80'
▮
Dion Sanderson
Yellow Card
85'
▮
Max Johnston
⇄ Ryan Nyambe
88'
⇄
Carlton Morris
⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
88'
⇄
FT 2–2
Derby
Match Stats
Cardiff
44%
Ball Possession
56%
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
10
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
7
4
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
1
9
Shots insidebox
8
1
Shots outsidebox
1
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
3
Fouls
5
1
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
150
Total passes
202
124
Passes accurate
164
83%
Passes %
81%
0.99
goals_prevented
0.99
Derby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G | 7.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 16 (9%) | – |
| 9 Carlton Morris F | 7.3 | 46' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 33 Corey Blackett-Taylor M | 7.2 | 46' | – | – | 3 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 18 Charlie Taylor D | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 29 Oscar Fraulo M | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 20 Alex Mowatt M | 6.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 23 (22%) | – |
| 22 Max Johnston D | 6.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 2 |
| 6 Sondre Langås D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 27 Lewis Travis M | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 28 Dion Sanderson D | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 3 |
| 8 Bobby Clark M | 6.2 | 46' | – | 1 | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
Cardiff
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Joel Bagan D | 8.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 2 |
| 1 Nathan Trott G | 7.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | – |
| 45 Cian Ashford M | 7.5 | 46' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 10 Rubin Colwill M | 7.3 | 46' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (18%) | 2 |
| 18 Alex Robertson M | 6.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 9 Yousef Salech F | 6.9 | 46' | 1 | – | 3 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 38 Perry Ng D | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 11 Ollie Tanner M | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 23 Calum Scanlon D | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 44 Ronan Kpakio D | 6.5 | 46' | – | 1 | 1 | 21 (17%) | 3 |
| 8 Jack Moylan M | 6.5 | 46' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Нашият анализ
Derby или равен
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Derby
DLLLW
Cardiff
WLDLL
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
33%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Derby
No scorer data.
Cardiff
J. Moylan
3 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Derby vs Cardiff
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Derby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Burnley | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Birmingham | L | 1 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H West Brom | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A West Ham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | A Portsmouth | W | 0 - 2 |
Cardiff — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Charlton | W | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Bolton | L | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Stoke City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Portsmouth | L | 2 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A QPR | L | 2 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Eustace
1
Zetterström
18
Taylor
6
Langås
28
Sanderson
22
Johnston
20
Mowatt
27
Travis
33
Blackett-Taylor
29
Fraulo
8
Clark
9
Morris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Widell Zetterström | G |
| 22 | Max Johnston | D |
| 28 | Dion Sanderson | D |
| 6 | Sondre Langås | D |
| 18 | Charlie Taylor | D |
| 27 | Lewis Travis | M |
| 20 | Alex Mowatt | M |
| 8 | Bobby Clark | M |
| 29 | Oscar Fraulo | M |
| 33 | Corey Blackett-Taylor | M |
| 9 | Carlton Morris | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Josh Vickers | G |
| 3 | Craig Forsyth | D |
| 24 | Ryan Nyambe | D |
| 23 | Joe Ward | M |
| 37 | Owen Eames | M |
| 26 | Ryan Hedges | M |
| 15 | Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | F |
| 13 | Filip Bilbija | M |
| 10 | Rhian Brewster | F |
Cardiff
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
1
Trott
23
Scanlon
3
Bagan
38
Ng
44
Kpakio
18
Robertson
8
Moylan
45
Ashford
10
Colwill
11
Tanner
9
Salech
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Trott | G |
| 44 | Ronan Kpakio | D |
| 38 | Perry Ng | D |
| 3 | Joel Bagan | D |
| 23 | Calum Scanlon | D |
| 8 | Jack Moylan | M |
| 18 | Alex Robertson | M |
| 11 | Ollie Tanner | M |
| 10 | Rubin Colwill | M |
| 45 | Cian Ashford | M |
| 9 | Yousef Salech | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | Matthew Turner | G |
| 30 | Harry Tyrer | G |
| 40 | Noah Anyadike | D |
| 16 | Chris Willock | M |
| 33 | Rob Tankiewicz | M |
| 27 | Joel Colwill | M |
| 14 | David Turnbull | M |
| 39 | Isaak Davies | F |
| 47 | Callum Robinson | F |