Cruz Azul vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 15

02 Nov 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Leon

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

AI прогноза Cruz Azul печели

85%

13%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction: Sportiko gives Cruz Azul a 85% chance of winning, Leon 2% and the draw 13%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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76% 71% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.7%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Leon

DWLWL

Last 2 meetings Cruz Azul · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Cruz Azul faces León in a Liga MX matchup on November 2, 2026. Cruz Azul has shown a solid home record with a points-per-game average that exceeds their overall season average, indicating a strong offensive performance. León, however, has been consistent on the road, boasting a formidable attack and a solid defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Cruz Azul's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while containing León's dynamic playmakers. Both teams will be keen to secure three points as they jockey for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

85%

45%

Draw

13%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leon goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	15	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3
5	6	2

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 2–0 (19.7%)

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Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

Leon

D. Arcila 4 gls

D. Cambindo 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

63% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

85% Home Scores More 13% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.8%	5.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.7%	5.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.8%	5.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	10.7%	3.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	Leon
Cruz Azul	61.6%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	23.2%	9.0%	1.1%
Leon	1.4%	1.2%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

55%

2.5

45%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Leon

1 Cruz Azul Wins

0 Draws

1 Leon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Leon	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
26 Jul 2025	Cruz Azul	4 - 1	Leon

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Leon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	A Club Queretaro	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Atletico San Luis	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A U.N.A.M. - Pumas	L	3 - 1
06 Sep	H Club America	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.