Monterrey vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Liga MX · Apertura - 12

19 Oct 2026, 01:00

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CF Pachuca

Away

AI прогноза CF Pachuca или равен

26%

30%

45%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca prediction: Sportiko gives Monterrey a 26% chance of winning, CF Pachuca 45% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Monterrey

WDLDL

CF Pachuca

DWWDD

Last 2 meetings Monterrey · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Monterrey will face CF Pachuca. Monterrey has shown strong form this season, with an average of 2.1 goals per match, ranking among the league's top scorers. Conversely, Pachuca's defense has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. This match could hinge on Monterrey's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against Pachuca's vulnerable backline. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points, making this a potentially high-stakes encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CF Pachuca goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	9	4	2
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Monterrey goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Monterrey

L. Ocampos 5 gls

CF Pachuca

S. Rondón 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Draw

30%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	10.2%	8.6%	4.2%	1.5%
1	6.9%	14.1%	9.1%	4.4%	1.6%
2	4.5%	6.6%	4.8%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.6%	2.3%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monterrey	Draw	CF Pachuca
Monterrey	15.0%	4.4%	2.2%
Draw	10.3%	18.8%	16.7%
CF Pachuca	1.5%	4.2%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monterrey vs CF Pachuca

0 Monterrey Wins

0 Draws

2 CF Pachuca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Monterrey	1 - 3	CF Pachuca
13 Jul 2025	CF Pachuca	3 - 0	Monterrey

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Tigres UANL	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	H Atletico San Luis	L	1 - 3

CF Pachuca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Club Tijuana	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Atlante FC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A FC Juarez	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Guadalajara Chivas	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A Atletico San Luis	D	1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.