Atlas vs Club Queretaro Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 6
FT
Post on X
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
AI прогноза Atlas или равен
47%
29%
25%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Atlas vs Club Queretaro prediction: Sportiko gives Atlas a 47% chance of winning, Club Queretaro 25% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 01:01.

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  • Домакин или равенство 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline

Edgar Zaldívar ⇄ Paulo Ramírez
12' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 39'
Santiago Homenchenko Penalty
Carlo Adriano García Own Goal
42' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 45+2'
Enzo Giménez Yellow Card
HT 1–1
Manuel Capasso Red Card
52' ▮
Duk ⇄ Jorge Sánchez
58' ⇄
Arturo González ⇄ Sergio Hernandez
58' ⇄
⇄ 58'
Enzo Giménez ⇄ Iker Benito
▮ 67'
Paulo Victor Yellow Card
⇄ 69'
Paulo Victor ⇄ Alejandro Alcala
⚽ 1–2 70'
Santiago Homenchenko assist: Iker Benito
⚽ 1–3 76'
Carlo Adriano García assist: Alejandro Alcala
Milton Valenzuela ⇄ Jorge Rodríguez
78' ⇄
Aldo Rocha ⇄ Jesús Serrato
78' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Mateo Coronel ⇄ Bernardo Parra
⇄ 83'
Bayron Duarte
⇄ 83'
Carlo Adriano García ⇄ Erik Dueñas
FT 1–3
Atlas

Match Stats

Club Queretaro
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.87 Expected Goals (xG) 1.42
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
490 Total passes 356
402 Passes accurate 283
82% Passes % 79%
-0.19 goals_prevented -0.19
Atlas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Luís Esteves M 6.9 94' – – 1 34 (22%) 1
5 Jorge Rodríguez D 6.7 16' – – – 12 (11%) –
58 Arturo González M 6.7 58' – – 1 21 (15%) 1
11 Duk M 6.7 58' – – – 20 (14%) 1
9 Florián Monzón F 6.7 94' – – 3 18 (16%) 1
192 Jesús Serrato M 6.6 16' – – – 11 (10%) 1
12 Camilo Vargas G 6.5 94' – – – 34 (31%) –
44 Juan José Purata D 6.5 94' – – – 67 (58%) 4
3 Jorge Sánchez D 6.3 36' – – 1 25 (22%) 1
21 Rodrigo Schlegel D 6.3 94' – – 1 71 (65%) 2
6 Edgar Zaldívar M 6.3 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
23 Sergio Hernandez M 6.3 36' – – – 10 (6%) 2
26 Aldo Rocha M 6.2 78' – – 2 46 (40%) 1
16 Milton Valenzuela D 6.2 78' – – – 35 (20%) 5
15 Paulo Ramírez D 6.2 82' – – 1 39 (31%) 2
28 Manuel Capasso D 5.7 51' – – 2 45 (39%) 1
Club Queretaro
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Santiago Homenchenko M 8.7 94' 2 – 3 53 (42%) 4
27 Daniel Parra D 8.0 94' – – – 48 (44%) 7
25 Guillermo Allison G 7.5 94' – – – 20 (17%) –
16 Enzo Giménez M 7.2 58' – – – 20 (14%) 1
20 Alejandro Alcala M 7.2 25' – 1 – 5 (3%) 1
2 Lucas Abascia D 7.0 94' – – – 42 (37%) 1
24 Bayron Duarte D 6.9 83' – – 1 23 (16%) 4
7 Iker Benito M 6.9 36' – 1 1 11 (8%) 1
4 Carlo Adriano García M 6.7 83' 1 – 1 34 (27%) 1
18 Erik Dueñas M 6.7 11' – – – 2 (2%) –
8 Bernardo Parra M 6.7 12' – – – 8 (7%) –
9 Ali Ávila F 6.3 94' – – 1 21 (18%) 1
15 Carlos Villanueva D 6.3 11' – – – 4 (4%) –
13 Diego Reyes D 6.2 94' – – – 27 (18%) 1
12 Paulo Victor M 6.2 69' – – – 18 (12%) 2
11 Mateo Coronel M 5.9 82' – – 4 20 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Atlas или равен
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Atlas
DLDLW
Club Queretaro
DWWLD
Last 2 meetings Atlas · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In this Liga MX clash, Atlas will face Club Queretaro. Atlas has shown a solid defensive record, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Queretaro has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.9 goals scored per game. The key for Atlas will be to exploit Queretaro's defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 1.5 goals per game. If Atlas can maintain their defensive solidity while capitalizing on scoring opportunities, they are likely to secure a victory in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atlas
Luís Esteves 3 gls
Club Queretaro
S. Homenchenko 4 gls
A. Ávila 3 gls

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Head to Head: Atlas vs Club Queretaro

0 Atlas Wins
2 Draws
0 Club Queretaro Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Atlas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro
17 Aug 2025 Club Queretaro 3 - 3 Atlas

Atlas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H U.N.A.M. - Pumas D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Toluca L 5 - 2
06 Sep H Atlante FC D 1 - 1
29 Aug H Club Queretaro L 1 - 3
23 Aug A Cruz Azul W 0 - 2

Club Queretaro — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep H Leon D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Club Tijuana W 0 - 1
29 Aug A Atlas W 1 - 3
22 Aug H Toluca L 1 - 2
16 Aug A U.N.A.M. - Pumas D 0 - 0

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Atlas

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: H. Crespo
12 Vargas
16 Valenzuela
21 Schlegel
28 Capasso
44 Purata
26 Rocha
6 Zaldívar
10 Esteves
58 González
11 Duk
9 Monzón

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Camilo Vargas G
44 Juan José Purata D
28 Manuel Capasso D
21 Rodrigo Schlegel D
16 Milton Valenzuela D
6 Edgar Zaldívar M
26 Aldo Rocha M
11 Duk M
58 Arturo González M
10 Luís Esteves M
9 Florián Monzón F

Substitutes

15 Paulo Ramírez D
3 Jorge Sánchez D
23 Sergio Hernandez M
22 Antonio Sánchez G
13 Gaddi Aguirre D
4 Adrián Mora D
5 Jorge Rodríguez D
27 Victor Rios M
192 Jesús Serrato M
203 Jose Martin F

Club Queretaro

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eduardo Gonzalez Herrera Esteban
25 Allison
27 Parra
2 Abascia
13 Reyes
24 Duarte
5 Homenchenko
4 García
12 Victor
11 Coronel
16 Giménez
9 Ávila

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 Guillermo Allison G
24 Bayron Duarte D
13 Diego Reyes D
2 Lucas Abascia D
27 Daniel Parra D
4 Carlo Adriano García M
5 Santiago Homenchenko M
16 Enzo Giménez M
11 Mateo Coronel M
12 Paulo Victor M
9 Ali Ávila F

Substitutes

7 Iker Benito M
20 Alejandro Alcala M
1 José Hernández G
15 Carlos Villanueva D
8 Bernardo Parra M
18 Erik Dueñas M
23 Juan Eduardo Robles M
199 Sergio Garcia M
29 Waldo Madrid M
26 Eduardo Perez F

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