Necaxa vs Leon Prediction
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
AI прогноза
Necaxa или равен
41%
28%
31%
Победа за домакина
Равенство
Победа на гостите
Necaxa vs Leon prediction: Sportiko gives Necaxa a 41% chance of winning, Leon 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 18 Aug 2026, 02:57.
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Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Под 3.5 гола 74%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
27'
Daniel Arcila
HT 0–1
Carlos Vargas
⇄ Juan Torres
46'
⇄
⇄
46'
Iván Moreno
⇄ Bryan Colula
Kaiky Naves
Yellow Card
58'
▮
▮
60'
Rodrigo Echeverría
Red Card
⇄
64'
⇄ Luis Valadez
⇄
64'
Jordi Cortizo
⇄ Juan Dominguez
Kaiky Naves
⇄ R. Martínez
64'
⇄
Matías Espíndola
assist: Juan Valencia
65'
⚽
1–1
Lorenzo Faravelli
⇄ Mauro Zaleta
65'
⇄
Ricardo Monreal
⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
65'
⇄
⚽
1–2
72'
Juan Dominguez
assist: Luis Valadez
⇄
74'
Sebastián Vegas
⇄ Salvador Reyes
Matías Espíndola
⇄ Miguel Pedroza
78'
⇄
Danny Leyva
Yellow Card
79'
▮
▮
81'
Bryan Colula
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Daniel Arcila
⇄ Paul Bellón
FT 1–2
Necaxa
Match Stats
Leon
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
24
Total Shots
15
8
Shots on Goal
7
10
Shots off Goal
4
6
Blocked Shots
4
11
Shots insidebox
6
13
Shots outsidebox
9
7
Corner Kicks
3
Offsides
15
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7
422
Total passes
279
368
Passes accurate
202
87%
Passes %
72%
0.44
goals_prevented
0.44
Necaxa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Javier Ruiz F | 8.3 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 33 (30%) | 3 |
| 21 Matías Espíndola F | 7.7 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 12 Luis Jimenez G | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 4 Alexis Peña D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 70 (65%) | 1 |
| 14 Mauro Zaleta M | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 6 Danny Leyva M | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 48 (38%) | 2 |
| 8 Lorenzo Faravelli M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 90 Juan Valencia F | 6.7 | 95' | – | 1 | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 20 Francisco Méndez D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 52 (48%) | – |
| 88 Carlos Vargas M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 11 Juan Torres M | 6.6 | 50' | – | – | 2 | 19 (18%) | – |
| 99 Emilio Rodriguez M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 5 Kaiky Naves D | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 2 |
| 33 R. Martínez D | 6.5 | 31' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | – |
| 30 Ricardo Monreal M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 27 Miguel Pedroza F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
Leon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Juan Dominguez M | 7.6 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 13 Daniel Arcila M | 7.5 | 85' | 1 | – | 4 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Oscar García G | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (16%) | – |
| 3 Juan Guevara D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 2 |
| 27 Diber Cambindo F | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 15 (9%) | 2 |
| 6 Fernando Beltrán M | 7.2 | 64' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 25 Paul Bellón D | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 35 Luis Valadez M | 6.7 | 31' | – | 1 | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Iván Moreno D | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | 3 |
| 5 Sebastián Vegas D | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 29 José Rodríguez M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 16 Jordi Cortizo M | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 14 Jhohan Romaña D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 29 (21%) | 2 |
| 26 Salvador Reyes M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Colula D | 6.2 | 50' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | 3 |
| 20 Rodrigo Echeverría M | 5.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Нашият анализ
Necaxa или равен
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Necaxa
LLDLD
Leon
DWLWL
Last 2 meetings
Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In this Liga MX matchup, Necaxa will face León. Necaxa has shown mixed form recently, with a record that reflects struggles in both attack and defense. León, on the other hand, has been more consistent, boasting a solid goal-scoring record and a stronger defensive unit. Key players for León will need to exploit Necaxa's vulnerabilities to secure points. This clash will likely hinge on León's ability to maintain their form against a Necaxa side looking to capitalize on their home ground.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
31%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Necaxa
J. Carranza
5 gls
Leon
D. Arcila
4 gls
D. Cambindo
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Necaxa vs Leon
0
Necaxa Wins
0
Draws
2
Leon Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar 2026 | Leon | 2 - 1 | Necaxa |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Necaxa | 0 - 1 | Leon |
Necaxa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Atletico San Luis | L | 3 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Puebla | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Tigres UANL | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Cruz Azul | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Aug | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | D | 1 - 1 |
Leon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | A Club Queretaro | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Atletico San Luis | W | 2 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A U.N.A.M. - Pumas | L | 3 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Club America | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Toluca | L | 2 - 0 |
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Club America
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Cruz Azul
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Club Queretaro
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |
Club Tijuana
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Leon
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Puebla
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |
Atlas
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Monterrey
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 11 |
CF Pachuca
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Atletico San Luis
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |
Atlante FC
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Necaxa
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
FC Juarez
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 |
Necaxa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Varini
12
Jimenez
20
Méndez
4
Peña
5
Naves
88
Vargas
8
Faravelli
6
Leyva
30
Monreal
10
Ruiz
21
Espíndola
90
Valencia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Luis Jimenez | G |
| 5 | Kaiky Naves | D |
| 4 | Alexis Peña | D |
| 20 | Francisco Méndez | D |
| 30 | Ricardo Monreal | M |
| 6 | Danny Leyva | M |
| 8 | Lorenzo Faravelli | M |
| 88 | Carlos Vargas | M |
| 21 | Matías Espíndola | F |
| 10 | Javier Ruiz | F |
| 90 | Juan Valencia | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Juan Torres | M |
| 33 | Raúl Martínez | D |
| 14 | Mauro Zaleta | M |
| 99 | Emilio Rodriguez | M |
| 1 | Christopher Andrade | G |
| 15 | Diego Ochoa | D |
| 17 | Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | M |
| 13 | Owen González | M |
| 16 | Pedro Pedraza | M |
| 27 | Miguel Pedroza | F |
Leon
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Javier Gandolfi
23
García
5
Vegas
3
Guevara
14
Romaña
7
Moreno
29
Rodríguez
13
Arcila
6
Beltrán
20
Echeverría
16
Cortizo
27
Cambindo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Oscar García | G |
| 7 | Iván Moreno | D |
| 14 | Jhohan Romaña | D |
| 3 | Juan Guevara | D |
| 5 | Sebastián Vegas | D |
| 29 | José Rodríguez | M |
| 16 | Jordi Cortizo | M |
| 20 | Rodrigo Echeverría | M |
| 6 | Fernando Beltrán | M |
| 13 | Daniel Arcila | M |
| 27 | Diber Cambindo | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Bryan Colula | D |
| 8 | Juan Dominguez | M |
| 35 | Luis Valadez | M |
| 12 | Julio González | G |
| 26 | Salvador Reyes | M |
| 25 | Paul Bellón | D |
| 22 | Sebastián Santos | M |
| 185 | Christopher Mora | D |
| 203 | Jesús Lara | D |
| 19 | José Alvarado | F |