Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 4
FT
Post on X
Estadio Corona, Torreón
AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Guadalajara Chivas
18%
27%
55%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: Sportiko gives Santos Laguna a 18% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 55% and the draw 27%. Last updated 17 Aug 2026, 03:09.

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Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 53'
Richard Ledezma
Eduardo Aguirre ⇄ Ramiro Sordo
53' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Jordan Carrillo ⇄ Efrain Alvarez
Aldo Lopez Vargas ⇄ Salvador Mariscal
66' ⇄
Diego González ⇄ Kevin Palacios
66' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 75'
Ricardo Marín
⇄ 81'
Hugo Camberos ⇄ Fernando González
⇄ 81'
Ricardo Marín ⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda
⇄ 82'
Brian Gutiérrez ⇄ Miguel Gómez
Efrain Orona ⇄ Tahiel Jiménez
85' ⇄
Mauricio Cuevas Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 0–1
Santos Laguna

Match Stats

Guadalajara Chivas
38% Ball Possession 62%
0.71 Expected Goals (xG) 1.05
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 4
7 Fouls 12
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
403 Total passes 649
338 Passes accurate 584
84% Passes % 90%
0.23 goals_prevented 0.23
Santos Laguna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Carlos Acevedo G 7.3 94' – – – 25 (19%) –
25 Felipe Sánchez D 7.3 94' – – – 58 (52%) 2
3 Mauricio Cuevas D 7.0 94' – – 1 33 (25%) 3
77 Kevin Palacios M 6.9 28' – – – 8 (8%) –
18 Franco Pardo D 6.6 94' – – – 47 (41%) –
8 Salvador Mariscal M 6.6 28' – – – 11 (11%) –
7 Diego González F 6.6 66' – – – 13 (9%) 1
10 Ezequiel Bullaude M 6.6 94' – – 2 43 (35%) 3
21 Fran Villalba M 6.6 94' – – 1 47 (41%) 1
29 Tahiel Jiménez F 6.5 10' – – – 2 (2%) –
26 Ramiro Sordo M 6.3 41' – – 1 17 (14%) –
5 Aldo Lopez Vargas M 6.3 66' – – – 17 (15%) –
19 Eduardo Aguirre F 6.2 53' – – – 15 (11%) –
17 Emmanuel Echeverría D 6.2 94' – – 2 29 (24%) –
14 Efrain Orona D 5.9 84' – – – 38 (31%) –
Guadalajara Chivas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Luis Romo D 7.3 94' – – – 97 (89%) 1
16 Luis Gabriel Rey D 7.3 94' – – – 92 (85%) –
25 Roberto Alvarado F 7.2 94' – – – 46 (45%) 1
3 Diego Campillo D 7.2 94' – – – 96 (90%) 2
6 Omar Govea M 7.2 94' – – – 79 (66%) 1
30 Santiago Sandoval M 7.2 41' – – 2 18 (17%) 1
1 Raúl Rangel G 7.0 94' – – – 28 (25%) –
17 Ricardo Marín F 7.0 81' 1 – 2 8 (4%) –
33 Jordan Carrillo M 6.9 64' – – 2 56 (49%) –
28 Fernando González M 6.7 13' – – – 7 (7%) –
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F 6.7 13' – – – 4 (4%) 1
24 Miguel Gómez D 6.7 12' – – – 5 (3%) 2
37 Richard Ledezma M 6.5 53' – – – 31 (27%) –
10 Efrain Alvarez F 6.5 30' – – 1 10 (7%) –
14 Hugo Camberos M 6.5 81' – – – 31 (29%) 2
11 Brian Gutiérrez M 6.3 82' – – 1 41 (37%) 1
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Guadalajara Chivas
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Santos Laguna
WWLDL
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Last 2 meetings Santos Laguna · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

Santos Laguna will face Guadalajara Chivas in a Liga MX clash that promises to be competitive. Santos has shown a strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Guadalajara has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Both teams have a solid midfield, but Santos’ ability to control possession could be pivotal. Expect a tactical battle, with set pieces likely to play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
18%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
55%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Santos Laguna
E. Bullaude 3 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
R. Alvarado 3 gls

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Head to Head: Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas

1 Santos Laguna Wins
0 Draws
1 Guadalajara Chivas Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Mar 2026 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 0 Santos Laguna
11 Aug 2025 Santos Laguna 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas

Santos Laguna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep A Toluca W 2 - 3
14 Sep H FC Juarez W 2 - 1
06 Sep A Cruz Azul L 1 - 0
30 Aug H Tigres UANL D 0 - 0
23 Aug A Puebla L 3 - 2

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
14 Sep H U.N.A.M. - Pumas W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Atletico San Luis W 0 - 3
29 Aug A CF Pachuca D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Club Tijuana W 5 - 2

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Guadalajara Chivas

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: G. Milito
1 Rangel
7 Romo
16 Rey
3 Campillo
14 Camberos
11 Gutiérrez
33 Carrillo
6 Govea
37 Ledezma
25 Alvarado
17 Marín

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Raúl Rangel G
3 Diego Campillo D
16 Luis Gabriel Rey D
7 Luis Romo D
14 Hugo Camberos M
37 Richard Ledezma M
6 Omar Govea M
33 Jordan Carrillo M
11 Brian Gutiérrez M
17 Ricardo Marín F
25 Roberto Alvarado F

Substitutes

30 Santiago Sandoval M
13 Óscar Whalley G
56 Ángel Chávez D
24 Miguel Gómez D
28 Fernando González M
18 Jonathan Perez M
19 Kevin Castañeda M
34 Armando González F
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F
10 Efrain Alvarez F

Santos Laguna

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Paiva Renato
1 Acevedo
17 Echeverría
25 Sánchez
18 Pardo
14 Orona
3 Cuevas
10 Bullaude
5 Vargas
21 Villalba
19 Aguirre
7 González

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Carlos Acevedo G
3 Mauricio Cuevas D
14 Efrain Orona D
18 Franco Pardo D
25 Felipe Sánchez D
17 Emmanuel Echeverría D
21 Fran Villalba M
5 Aldo Lopez Vargas M
10 Ezequiel Bullaude M
7 Diego González F
19 Eduardo Aguirre F

Substitutes

26 Ramiro Sordo M
33 Hector Holguin G
28 Jonathan Pérez D
4 José Abella D
22 Kevin Picon D
8 Salvador Mariscal M
15 Joshua Mancha M
77 Kevin Palacios M
6 Javier Güemez M
29 Tahiel Jiménez F

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