Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 9

19 Dec 2026, 08:40

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Melbourne Victory

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI прогноза Melbourne Victory или равен

30%

28%

42%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne City a 30% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 42% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Melbourne City

LWDLW

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Melbourne City · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne City faces Melbourne Victory in a highly anticipated derby. Melbourne City has demonstrated strong form with a solid attack, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded only 1.1 goals per game. In contrast, Melbourne Victory struggles with consistency, sitting mid-table and averaging 1.4 goals scored per match. The matchup's intensity and rivalry factor could influence performance, but based on current form, Melbourne City enters as the favorite.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	7	4	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Melbourne City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	7.7%	7.2%	3.8%	1.5%
1	6.0%	13.3%	9.2%	4.8%	1.9%
2	4.8%	7.5%	5.8%	3.0%	1.2%
3	2.0%	3.2%	2.5%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City	17.3%	4.6%	2.5%
Draw	11.2%	16.9%	15.2%
Melbourne Victory	1.9%	4.5%	25.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

1 Melbourne City Wins

0 Draws

2 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Melbourne City	1 - 3	Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 2025	Melbourne City	0 - 1	Melbourne Victory
08 Nov 2025	Melbourne Victory	0 - 2	Melbourne City

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.