Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 6

29 Nov 2026, 02:00

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Adelaide United

Away

AI прогноза Adelaide United to win or draw

25%

69%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 7% chance of winning, Adelaide United 69% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 20.5%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Adelaide United

LWLDD

Last 3 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Wellington Phoenix faces Adelaide United with both teams looking to secure vital points. Wellington has demonstrated strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Adelaide United boasts a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per match on average. The matchup will likely hinge on Wellington's ability to break through Adelaide's organized defense. Additionally, both teams have shown resilience, often responding well to setbacks, making this encounter potentially closely contested.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

69%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Adelaide United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	21	18	10	4	1
1	4	9	7	4	2	1
2	1	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 0–1 (20.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

25%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

25%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

91% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	20.5%	18.1%	10.2%	4.3%
1	3.8%	9.3%	6.9%	3.9%	1.6%
2	0.9%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

76%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix	3.6%	2.2%	1.3%
Draw	3.4%	18.7%	24.0%
Adelaide United	0.3%	2.2%	44.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

68%

26%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

2 Draws

0 Adelaide United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	Adelaide United	1 - 1	Wellington Phoenix
11 Jan 2026	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 2	Adelaide United
29 Nov 2025	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.