Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Прогноза

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
AI прогноза Melbourne Victory или равен
32%
27%
41%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Adelaide United срещу Melbourne Victory: Sportiko дава на Adelaide United 32% вероятност за победа, на Melbourne Victory 41% и 27% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 8 Nov 2026, 08:13.

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Timeline

🖵 7'
Matthew Grimaldi Goal Disallowed - Foul
▮ 27'
Philipp Ziereis Yellow Card
▮ 38'
Louis D'Arrigo Yellow Card
Brody Burkitt assist: Juan Muñiz
45+3' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⇄ 56'
Matthew Grimaldi ⇄ Denis Genreau
Mitchell Smith ⇄ Anselmo
61' ⇄
⚽ 1–1 64'
Jordi Valadon
Brody Burkitt Yellow Card
68' ▮
⚽ 1–2 70'
Keegan Jelacic assist: Clarismario
Panagiotis Kikianis Yellow Card
76' ▮
▮ 76'
Charles Nduka Yellow Card
⇄ 77'
Clarismario ⇄ M. Ghossaini
⇄ 77'
Louis D'Arrigo ⇄ Xavier Stella
Craig Goodwin ⇄ Harry Crawford
79' ⇄
Brody Burkitt ⇄ Joey Garuccio
79' ⇄
Luke Duzel ⇄ Amlani Tatu
79' ⇄
▮ 86'
Philipp Ziereis Yellow Card
▮ 86'
Philipp Ziereis Red Card
▮ 90'
Denis Genreau Yellow Card
Sotiri Phillis Yellow Card
90' ▮
Jay Barnett ⇄ Fabian Talladira
90' ⇄
Joey Garuccio assist: Ryan Kitto
90+9' ⚽ 2–2
FT 2–2
Adelaide United

Match Stats

Melbourne Victory
58% Ball Possession 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
424 Total passes 300
328 Passes accurate 208
77% Passes % 69%
goals_prevented
Adelaide United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Juan Muñiz M 7.9 96' – 1 4 46 (40%) 2
55 Ethan Alagich M 7.5 96' – – – 48 (37%) 7
4 Panagiotis Kikianis D 7.0 96' – – 2 63 (54%) 2
52 Sotiri Phillis D 6.9 96' – – – 51 (42%) 2
23 Luke Duzel M 6.7 79' – – – 46 (38%) 2
58 Harry Crawford F 6.7 17' – – – 3 (2%) –
19 Amlani Tatu F 6.7 17' – – – 3 (2%) –
65 Joey Garuccio M 6.7 17' – – – 1 (1%) –
11 Craig Goodwin M 6.6 79' – – 1 26 (22%) –
14 Jay Barnett D 6.5 90' – – – 40 (27%) 4
87 Anselmo M 6.5 35' – – 2 14 (7%) 1
27 Mitchell Smith F 6.3 61' – – 1 13 (10%) –
7 Ryan Kitto D 6.2 96' – – 1 28 (20%) 1
35 Brody Burkitt F 6.2 79' 1 – 4 15 (9%) 1
22 Joshua Smits G 6.0 96' – – – 22 (13%) –
62 Fabian Talladira M — 6' – – – 5 (4%) –
Melbourne Victory
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Jordi Valadon M 8.0 96' 1 – 1 39 (30%) 2
23 Keegan Jelacic M 7.7 96' 1 – 2 33 (25%) 1
11 Clarismario M 7.6 77' – 1 1 17 (13%) –
10 Denis Genreau M 6.9 40' – – – 12 (6%) 2
18 Franco Lino D 6.9 96' – – 1 23 (18%) 4
25 Jack Duncan G 6.9 96' – – – 20 (6%) –
5 Brendan Hamill D 6.9 96' – – – 14 (10%) 3
44 Charles Nduka F 6.7 96' – – – 12 (10%) 2
14 Matthew Grimaldi M 6.7 56' – – – 15 (13%) 3
22 Xavier Stella D 6.7 19' – – – 3 (1%) 1
6 Louis D'Arrigo M 6.6 77' – – – 35 (26%) 1
3 Jason Davidson D 6.5 96' – – – 50 (30%) 2
4 Philipp Ziereis D 6.3 86' – – – 24 (20%) –
29 Michael Ghossaini F 6.2 19' – – – 3 –
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Melbourne Victory или равен
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Adelaide United
DLLWL
Melbourne Victory
DLDLD
Last 3 meetings Adelaide United · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Adelaide United will face Melbourne Victory in a crucial A-League matchup on November 8, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, but Adelaide has been more consistent in recent outings, boasting a strong home record. Key players to watch include Adelaide's attacking midfielder, who has contributed significantly to their goal tally, and Melbourne's striker, known for his pace and finishing ability. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming for valuable points to boost their standings.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Melbourne Victory leads 1-2. Win probability: 83.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.2%.

71' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Melbourne Victory win: 81.3%. BTTS: 100%.

65' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 52.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Adelaide United win: 66.6%. BTTS: 56.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
41%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Adelaide United

No scorer data.

Melbourne Victory
C. Nduka 1 gls
K. Jelacic 1 gls

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Head to Head: Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

1 Adelaide United Wins
1 Draws
1 Melbourne Victory Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Feb 2026 Melbourne Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United
17 Jan 2026 Adelaide United 2 - 1 Melbourne Victory
13 Dec 2025 Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Melbourne Victory D 2 - 2
01 Nov A Perth Glory L 4 - 0
25 Oct A Sydney L 2 - 1
03 Oct A Perth Glory W 1 - 3
09 May A Auckland L 1 - 0

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Adelaide United D 2 - 2
04 Nov H Persib Bandung L 1 - 2
01 Nov H Central Coast Mariners D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Persib Bandung L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Melbourne City D 1 - 1

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wellington Phoenix
4 3 1 0 +6 10
2
Sydney
4 2 1 1 +3 7
3
Melbourne City
4 2 1 1 0 7
4
Perth Glory
4 2 0 2 +3 6
5
Western Sydney Wanderers
4 1 2 1 +2 5
6
Macarthur
3 1 2 0 +1 5
7
Auckland
4 1 2 1 -1 5
8
Brisbane Roar
2 1 1 0 +1 4
9
Melbourne Victory
3 0 2 1 -1 2
10
Newcastle Jets
4 0 2 2 -4 2
11
Central Coast Mariners
4 0 2 2 -5 2
12
Adelaide United
2 0 0 2 -5 0

Melbourne Victory

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
25 Duncan
18 Lino
3 Davidson
4 Ziereis
5 Hamill
6 D'Arrigo
8 Valadon
23 Jelacic
14 Grimaldi
11 Clarismario
44 Nduka

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 Jack Duncan G
5 Brendan Hamill D
4 Philipp Ziereis D
3 Jason Davidson D
18 Franco Lino D
8 Jordi Valadon M
6 Louis D'Arrigo M
11 Clarismario M
14 Matthew Grimaldi M
23 Keegan Jelacic M
44 Charles Nduka F

Substitutes

1 Jack Warshawsky G
38 John Radimisis D
22 Xavier Stella D
10 Denis Genreau M
19 Oliver Dragicevic M
9 Harry Sawyer F
29 Michael Ghossaini F

Adelaide United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
22 Smits
7 Kitto
4 Kikianis
52 Phillis
14 Barnett
11 Goodwin
55 Alagich
23 Duzel
10 Muñiz
27 Smith
35 Burkitt

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Joshua Smits G
14 Jay Barnett D
52 Sotiri Phillis D
4 Panagiotis Kikianis D
7 Ryan Kitto D
10 Juan Muñiz M
23 Luke Duzel M
55 Ethan Alagich M
11 Craig Goodwin M
35 Brody Burkitt F
27 Mitchell Smith F

Substitutes

40 Ethan Cox G
62 Fabian Talladira M
79 Feyzo Kasumovic D
19 Amlani Tatu F
58 Harry Crawford F
65 Joey Garuccio M
87 Anselmo M

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