Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 3

01 Nov 2026, 04:00

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Central Coast Mariners

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI прогноза Central Coast Mariners или равен

22%

28%

49%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 22% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 49% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Central Coast Mariners

DLWDL

Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory will face Central Coast Mariners. Melbourne Victory has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Central Coast Mariners have displayed potent attacking prowess with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally this season. Both teams have fluctuated in form, making this match pivotal for their respective standings. The outcome may hinge on Melbourne's ability to contain the Mariners' counter-attacks and capitalize on set-pieces. Overall, it's a critical fixture for both sides as they strive for playoff positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

49%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Central Coast Mariners goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	10	5	2	1
1	6	14	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	10.5%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
1	6.1%	13.6%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.8%	6.0%	4.8%	2.5%	1.0%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory	12.8%	4.2%	2.3%
Draw	9.1%	18.0%	17.7%
Central Coast Mariners	1.4%	4.2%	30.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners

1 Melbourne Victory Wins

0 Draws

1 Central Coast Mariners Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Melbourne Victory	4 - 1	Central Coast Mariners
01 Feb 2026	Central Coast Mariners	1 - 0	Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Central Coast Mariners — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Sydney United	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	L	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Auckland	W	0 - 1
10 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	D	2 - 2
07 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	2 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.