Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Grazer AK

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

AI прогноза Sturm Graz to win or draw

76%

17%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction: Sportiko gives Sturm Graz a 76% chance of winning, Grazer AK 7% and the draw 17%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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75% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Grazer AK

DWWDL

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, Sturm Graz faces Grazer AK in a local derby. Sturm Graz has shown solid form with a strong offensive record, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Meanwhile, Grazer AK has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The match is expected to be competitive, but Sturm Graz's attacking prowess may give them the edge. Historical data suggests that recent encounters have favored Sturm Graz, which will be crucial in this fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Grazer AK goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	2	1
1	10	8	2	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	12	8	3	1
4	7	5	2
5	4	3	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 2–0 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Grazer AK

A. Hofleitner 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

92% Home (No Draw) 8% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	1.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
1	9.9%	8.0%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.1%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	11.7%	7.7%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	7.5%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Grazer AK
Sturm Graz	52.5%	2.1%	0.4%
Draw	22.7%	10.1%	2.7%
Grazer AK	2.9%	2.7%	3.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

23%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK

3 Sturm Graz Wins

0 Draws

0 Grazer AK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Dec 2025	Sturm Graz	2 - 1	Grazer AK
30 Aug 2025	Grazer AK	0 - 3	Sturm Graz
09 Mar 2025	Grazer AK	1 - 2	Sturm Graz

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Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Grazer AK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Austria Vienna	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A SCR Altach	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Kitzbühel	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Wolfsberger AC	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Ried	L	1 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.