Celtic vs Motherwell Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 20

26 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Motherwell

Away

Celtic Park, Glasgow

AI прогноза Motherwell или равен

32%

31%

37%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Celtic vs Motherwell prediction: Sportiko gives Celtic a 32% chance of winning, Motherwell 37% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Celtic

LLLWW

Motherwell

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Celtic · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Celtic heads into the match against Motherwell with a strong track record in the Premiership, showcasing a robust home form. The team's attacking prowess, led by their top scorers, contrasts with Motherwell's struggle to maintain defensive stability, as evidenced by their recent goals conceded per game. Celtic's midfield control and pressing game could exploit Motherwell's vulnerabilities, particularly in transition. Given Celtic's superior possession statistics and higher expected goals (xG) metrics this season, they will likely aim to dominate the match and secure a decisive victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

37%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Motherwell goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Celtic goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Celtic

C. Durán 3 gls

B. Nygren 3 gls

K. Høgh 3 gls

Yang Hyun-Jun 2 gls

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	9.5%	7.1%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.6%	14.7%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.9%	7.6%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celtic	Draw	Motherwell
Celtic	18.6%	4.4%	1.9%
Draw	12.7%	19.9%	14.4%
Motherwell	1.7%	4.4%	22.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celtic vs Motherwell

2 Celtic Wins

0 Draws

1 Motherwell Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Celtic	3 - 1	Motherwell
30 Dec 2025	Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
05 Oct 2025	Celtic	3 - 2	Motherwell

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Celtic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rangers	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Rangers	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	A ST Johnstone	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	A ST Mirren	W	1 - 2

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.