Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 9

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

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Motherwell

Away

AI прогноза Kilmarnock или равен

49%

30%

21%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 49% chance of winning, Motherwell 21% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Motherwell

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Kilmarnock will host Motherwell. Kilmarnock has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Motherwell's away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches. Both teams have struggled for consistency in attack, with Kilmarnock averaging 1.1 goals per game and Motherwell slightly better at 1.3. This match could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to capitalize on set pieces, as they are one of the league’s top teams in this aspect. Expect a closely contested battle with potential for a low-scoring outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Motherwell goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	7	4	1
1	13	14	5	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

Motherwell

A. Lowry 2 gls

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

30%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

30%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	6.8%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%
1	12.6%	14.0%	5.4%	1.6%	0.3%
2	10.5%	9.1%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
3	5.1%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.9%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	30.4%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	18.4%	19.8%	8.8%
Motherwell	2.0%	4.0%	11.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

0 Kilmarnock Wins

1 Draws

2 Motherwell Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
22 Nov 2025	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
30 Aug 2025	Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Dundee	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Aberdeen	L	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Rangers	L	1 - 0
02 Sep	H Dundee Utd	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A ST Mirren	D	3 - 3

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.