Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Prediction

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
AI прогноза ST Mirren или равен
34%
27%
38%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 34% chance of winning, ST Mirren 38% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Sep 2026, 20:36.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 4'
F. Taylor assist: Nikolas Agrafiotis
Greg Kiltie Yellow Card
38' ▮
▮ 42'
Nikolas Agrafiotis Yellow Card
Tyreece John-Jules ⇄ D. Daniels
45' ⇄
Erik Ring ⇄ Aaron Tshibola
45' ⇄
Johnly Yfeko ⇄ Jamie Brandon
45' ⇄
HT 0–1
⇄ 61'
Nikolas Agrafiotis ⇄ Jake Young
⇄ 66'
C. Mochrie ⇄ L. Thomas
M. O'Hara ⇄ Rory McKenzie
66' ⇄
⇄ 74'
F. Taylor ⇄ Jayden Richardson
⇄ 74'
Ismeal Kabia ⇄ Eseosa Sule
Tom Lowery ⇄ Bailey Rice
78' ⇄
Bailey Rice Yellow Card
82' ▮
▮ 82'
Jayden Richardson Yellow Card
FT 0–1
Kilmarnock

Match Stats

ST Mirren
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
455 Total passes 519
370 Passes accurate 445
12 Free Kicks 12
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 George Stanger D 6.9 90' – – – 63 (62%) 1
15 Johnly Yfeko D 6.9 46' – – – 34 (29%) –
4 C. McCarthy D 6.8 90' – – 1 70 (57%) 6
18 Tom Lowery M 6.7 78' – – – 48 (39%) 3
8 Erik Ring M 6.7 46' – – – 9 (4%) 2
11 Greg Kiltie M 6.6 90' – – – 27 (23%) 1
10 Tyreece John-Jules F 6.5 46' – – 2 12 (6%) 2
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.4 44' – – 1 43 (34%) 1
2 Jamie Brandon D 6.4 44' – – – 25 (21%) 2
29 D. Daniels F 6.4 44' – – 1 4 (2%) 2
1 Max Stryjek G 6.3 90' – – – 29 (23%) –
9 Joe Hugill F 6.2 90' – – 2 9 (7%) –
7 Rory McKenzie M 6.2 24' – – 1 16 (10%) 2
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen M 6.1 90' – – 1 44 (37%) –
49 Bailey Rice M 6.0 12' – – – 5 (3%) –
5 M. O'Hara M 5.9 66' – – – 17 (13%) 5
ST Mirren
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 F. Taylor M 8.2 74' 1 – 1 61 (58%) 2
47 Calvin Ramsay D 7.8 90' – – 1 48 (45%) 4
53 Henry Fieldson D 7.6 90' – – – 56 (49%) –
13 Alexander Gogić D 7.4 90' – – – 64 (57%) –
1 J. Chapman G 7.3 90' – – – 40 (32%) –
8 R. Carr M 7.1 90' – – 1 76 (71%) 2
16 L. Thomas M 7.0 24' – – – 8 (6%) 2
2 Jayden Richardson D 6.7 16' – – – 4 (3%) 1
48 P. Nsio M 6.7 90' – – 1 38 (30%) 5
9 Eseosa Sule F 6.6 16' – – 1 1 2
19 Ismeal Kabia M 6.6 74' – – 1 23 (20%) –
3 Declan John D 6.5 90' – – 1 56 (40%) –
23 C. Mochrie M 6.5 66' – – 1 25 (20%) 1
20 Jake Young F 6.4 29' – – – 3 (2%) –
25 Nikolas Agrafiotis F 6.4 61' – 1 2 16 (12%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
ST Mirren или равен
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Kilmarnock
DWDDL
ST Mirren
LLLWD
Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Kilmarnock faces St Mirren in a crucial Premiership clash. Kilmarnock has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while St Mirren's attack has struggled, averaging only 1 goal per game. Both teams will be vying for points, with Kilmarnock likely to leverage their organized defense against St Mirren’s inconsistent scoring. The match could hinge on set pieces, as Kilmarnock has been effective in this area. Expect a tightly contested game with potential for a narrow margin.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
34%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
38%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

ST Mirren
K. Phillips 3 gls
Samu 1 gls

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren

2 Kilmarnock Wins
1 Draws
0 ST Mirren Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Feb 2026 Kilmarnock 4 - 3 ST Mirren
27 Dec 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
04 Oct 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 ST Mirren
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Hibernian W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Aberdeen D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Aberdeen D 0 - 0
02 Sep H ST Mirren L 0 - 1

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Dundee Utd L 0 - 3
09 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Celtic L 1 - 2
02 Sep A Kilmarnock W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Motherwell D 3 - 3

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Kilmarnock

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: N. McCann
1 Stryjek
15 Yfeko
14 Stanger
4 McCarthy
21 Schjønning-Larsen
18 Lowery
5 O'Hara
8 Ring
11 Kiltie
9 Hugill
10 John-Jules

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Stryjek G
4 C. McCarthy D
14 G. Stanger D
15 J. Yfeko D
8 E. Ring M
5 M. O'Hara M
18 T. Lowery M
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen M
11 G. Kiltie M
10 T. John-Jules F
9 J. Hugill F

Substitutes

2 J. Brandon D
29 D. Daniels F
7 R. McKenzie M
19 J. Meier D
49 B. Rice M
36 A. Tshibola M
27 Ieuan Gwyn Owen F
12 Calum Ferrie G
37 C. Burke F

ST Mirren

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Chapman
3 John
53 Fieldson
13 Gogić
47 Ramsay
8 Carr
48 Nsio
19 Kabia
30 Taylor
23 Mochrie
25 Agrafiotis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Chapman G
47 C. Ramsay D
13 A. Gogić D
53 Henry Fieldson D
3 D. John D
48 P. Nsio M
8 R. Carr M
23 C. Mochrie M
30 F. Taylor M
19 Ismeal Kabia M
25 N. Agrafiotis F

Substitutes

2 J. Richardson D
9 Eseosa Sule F
16 L. Thomas M
31 R. Mullen G
37 C. McEvoy M
5 R. King D
20 J. Young F
6 Louis Jackson D
10 Samu M

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