Lokomotiv vs Baltika Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

15 May 2027, 15:00

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Baltika

Away

AI прогноза Lokomotiv to win or draw

66%

26%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lokomotiv vs Baltika prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv a 66% chance of winning, Baltika 8% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.7%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Baltika

LDLDW

Last 3 meetings Lokomotiv · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lokomotiv will face Baltika in a crucial Premier League matchup. Historically, Lokomotiv has demonstrated strong home form, typically capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with a goal-scoring rate of 1.8 goals per game at home this season. Conversely, Baltika has struggled on the road, averaging just 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.6. With both teams battling for points to secure their league standings, Lokomotiv's offensive capabilities may prove decisive, especially if they can exploit Baltika's defensive vulnerabilities. This match promises to be pivotal for both teams as they navigate the final stretch of the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baltika goals →

	0	1	2
0	15	4	1
1	21	10	2
2	17	7	1
3	9	4	1
4	4	1
5	1

↑ Lokomotiv goals · most likely 1–0 (20.7%)

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Players in form

Lokomotiv

No scorer data.

Baltika

B. Gil 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

26%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

26%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	20.7%	9.9%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.4%	7.0%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
3	9.3%	3.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.7%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv	Draw	Baltika
Lokomotiv	42.1%	2.3%	0.3%
Draw	23.8%	19.8%	3.9%
Baltika	1.4%	2.3%	4.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv vs Baltika

2 Lokomotiv Wins

1 Draws

0 Baltika Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Sep 2026	Baltika	0 - 1	Lokomotiv
10 May 2026	Lokomotiv	1 - 0	Baltika
16 Aug 2025	Baltika	1 - 1	Lokomotiv

See all 5 meetings — Premium

Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Baltika — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Zenit	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Fakel	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Lokomotiv	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Rodina Moskva	W	0 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.