FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

08 May 2027, 15:00

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FC Orenburg

Away

AI прогноза FC Krasnodar печели

85%

12%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC Krasnodar a 85% chance of winning, FC Orenburg 2% and the draw 12%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.8%

Both teams to score

27%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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FC Krasnodar

DDDDW

FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Last 3 meetings FC Krasnodar · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

FC Krasnodar faces FC Orenburg in a Premier League matchup on May 8, 2027. Krasnodar has historically shown strong performance at home, with a robust attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Orenburg, however, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per match, which could be a critical factor in this fixture. The matchup will likely hinge on Krasnodar's ability to exploit Orenburg's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining defensive solidity themselves. Expect a competitive game, with Krasnodar as the favorites based on current form and statistical trends.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

85%

45%

Draw

12%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Orenburg goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	4	1
5	6	2

↑ FC Krasnodar goals · most likely 2–0 (18.8%)

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Players in form

FC Krasnodar

N. Krivtsov 3 gls

Jubal 3 gls

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

64% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

85% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS No 27% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	13.6%	5.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	18.8%	6.2%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.6%	5.5%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.0%	3.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

31%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Krasnodar	Draw	FC Orenburg
FC Krasnodar	62.3%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	22.7%	8.5%	1.2%
FC Orenburg	1.5%	1.2%	1.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

72%

24%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Krasnodar vs FC Orenburg

2 FC Krasnodar Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Orenburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Sep 2026	FC Orenburg	0 - 0	FC Krasnodar
17 May 2026	FC Krasnodar	3 - 0	FC Orenburg
10 Aug 2025	FC Orenburg	0 - 1	FC Krasnodar

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FC Krasnodar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A FC Orenburg	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Akron	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	D	2 - 2
01 Sep	A Fakel	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H FC Rostov	W	1 - 0

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.