FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

20 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Rodina Moskva

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

30%

32%

39%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva prediction: Sportiko gives FC Rostov a 30% chance of winning, Rodina Moskva 39% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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FC Rostov

LLWWL

Rodina Moskva

DLLLL

Last 1 meetings FC Rostov · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

FC Rostov enters the match having shown solid form in the Premier League, with a strong defensive record, allowing an average of just 1.1 goals per game this season. Their attack has been moderately effective, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match, which places them in the upper mid-table zone. Rodina Moskva, while competing well in their own right, has struggled against top-half teams, particularly in away fixtures where they average 0.9 goals scored. Rostov's ability to maintain possession and control the midfield could be crucial in this encounter, as they look to capitalize on Rodina's vulnerabilities. The match could hinge on Rostov's efficiency in front of goal and whether Rodina can adapt to the pressure.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

39%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rodina Moskva goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	11	8	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ FC Rostov goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

FC Rostov

No scorer data.

Rodina Moskva

A. Maksimenko 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

32%

Home Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

32%

Home Win

30%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 30% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	10.8%	7.7%	3.2%	1.0%
1	8.9%	14.9%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
2	5.7%	7.0%	4.3%	1.8%	0.6%
3	2.0%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Rostov	Draw	Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov	17.3%	4.3%	1.8%
Draw	12.0%	20.9%	15.0%
Rodina Moskva	1.5%	4.3%	22.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Rostov vs Rodina Moskva

1 FC Rostov Wins

0 Draws

0 Rodina Moskva Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jul 2026	Rodina Moskva	2 - 4	FC Rostov

FC Rostov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Dynamo	L	0 - 3
13 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Fakel	W	3 - 1
01 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A FC Krasnodar	L	1 - 0

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Baltika	L	0 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.