Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

CSKA Moscow

Away

AI прогноза Lokomotiv или равен

49%

31%

20%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv a 49% chance of winning, CSKA Moscow 20% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Lokomotiv

DLWDL

CSKA Moscow

WDWLD

Last 3 meetings Lokomotiv · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Lokomotiv faces CSKA Moscow in a critical Premier League clash. Both teams possess strong attacking options, with Lokomotiv averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while CSKA has recorded 1.6 goals per match. Defensively, Lokomotiv has shown resilience, conceding only 1 goal per game, compared to CSKA’s 1.2 goals conceded. The outcome may hinge on Lokomotiv’s ability to contain CSKA's pacey forwards, while CSKA will need to exploit any defensive lapses from Lokomotiv to secure points. The match promises to be tightly contested, given the competitive nature of both squads.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Moscow goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	11	9	3	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Lokomotiv goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Lokomotiv

No scorer data.

CSKA Moscow

I. Oblyakov 4 gls

I. Oleynikov 3 gls

L. Gondou 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

31%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	7.6%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.4%	14.1%	4.9%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.9%	8.5%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.0%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv	Draw	CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv	29.6%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	18.7%	21.6%	8.7%
CSKA Moscow	1.8%	3.8%	11.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow

1 Lokomotiv Wins

1 Draws

1 CSKA Moscow Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	CSKA Moscow	3 - 2	Lokomotiv
04 Aug 2026	Lokomotiv	1 - 1	CSKA Moscow
14 Jul 2026	Lokomotiv	1 - 0	CSKA Moscow

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Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

CSKA Moscow — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Zenit	W	1 - 2
01 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Akron	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.