Fakel vs FC Rostov Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

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FC Rostov

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

36%

35%

30%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Fakel vs FC Rostov prediction: Sportiko gives Fakel a 36% chance of winning, FC Rostov 30% and the draw 35%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 16%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Fakel

LDLDL

FC Rostov

LLWWL

Last 3 meetings Fakel · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Fakel will face FC Rostov in a Premier League clash on December 5, 2026. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Fakel currently sitting in mid-table and looking to solidify their position, while FC Rostov aims to break into the top half of the standings. Key players to watch include Fakel's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Rostov's solid defense, which has recorded 4 clean sheets in the last 6 matches. The match could hinge on Fakel's ability to exploit home momentum and Rostov's counter-attacking prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

36%

10%

Draw

35%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Rostov goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	11	6	2
1	13	15	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Fakel goals · most likely 0–0 (16.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

35%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

35%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 35% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.0%	11.4%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%
1	12.9%	15.3%	6.2%	1.9%	0.4%
2	7.6%	7.0%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
3	2.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fakel	Draw	FC Rostov
Fakel	20.4%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	14.8%	24.6%	12.8%
FC Rostov	1.4%	4.0%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fakel vs FC Rostov

1 Fakel Wins

0 Draws

2 FC Rostov Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	FC Rostov	3 - 1	Fakel
07 Jul 2026	Fakel	3 - 1	FC Rostov
20 Apr 2025	Fakel	0 - 2	FC Rostov

See all 8 meetings — Premium

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

FC Rostov — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H Dynamo	L	0 - 3
13 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Fakel	W	3 - 1
01 Sep	H CSKA Moscow	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A FC Krasnodar	L	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.