FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Rodina Moskva

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

44%

28%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva prediction: Sportiko gives FC Orenburg a 44% chance of winning, Rodina Moskva 28% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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FC Orenburg

DLDDD

Rodina Moskva

DLLLL

Match summary

FC Orenburg faces Rodina Moskva in a Premier League clash on November 28, 2026. Orenburg has shown a solid home record, leveraging their tactical discipline and offensive efficiency, while Rodina Moskva's away form has been inconsistent, with struggles in converting chances. Key players to watch include Orenburg's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent matches, and Rodina's defense, which will need to tighten up to avoid conceding early. Overall, this matchup will test both teams' resolve as they aim for crucial points in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

28%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rodina Moskva goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ FC Orenburg goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

FC Orenburg

No scorer data.

Rodina Moskva

A. Maksimenko 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

28%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

28%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 28% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	5.8%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
1	7.8%	13.2%	7.3%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.5%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.0%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Orenburg	Draw	Rodina Moskva
FC Orenburg	27.0%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	15.6%	16.7%	10.8%
Rodina Moskva	2.5%	4.5%	16.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Orenburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
17 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Dynamo	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Akron	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Spartak Moscow	D	1 - 1

Rodina Moskva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Rubin	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	A Krylia Sovetov	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Dinamo Makhachkala	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Baltika	L	0 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.