Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 16

20 Dec 2026, 18:00

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Fenerbahçe

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Fenerbahçe

18%

26%

56%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe prediction: Sportiko gives Kasımpaşa a 18% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 56% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Kasımpaşa

DWDDW

Fenerbahçe

WDDLW

Last 3 meetings Kasımpaşa · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Süper Lig clash, Kasımpaşa will face Fenerbahçe, who currently sit higher in the league standings. Fenerbahçe's attack has been potent, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Kasımpaşa struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Key players to watch include Fenerbahçe's top scorer, who has been crucial in breaking down organized defenses. If Kasımpaşa can tighten their defense and capitalize on set pieces, they may pose a threat. Overall, Fenerbahçe's superior form and attacking prowess suggest they will be favored in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fenerbahçe goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	10	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Kasımpaşa goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak 4 gls

G. Yalçın 2 gls

Fenerbahçe

V. Muriqi 6 gls

M. Greenwood 4 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

26%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.6%	10.2%	6.3%	2.9%
1	4.5%	12.2%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	2.9%	5.3%	4.9%	3.0%	1.4%
3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kasımpaşa	Draw	Fenerbahçe
Kasımpaşa	9.9%	3.7%	2.4%
Draw	7.8%	15.7%	18.2%
Fenerbahçe	1.4%	4.2%	36.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe

0 Kasımpaşa Wins

2 Draws

1 Fenerbahçe Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Feb 2026	Fenerbahçe	1 - 1	Kasımpaşa
21 Sep 2025	Kasımpaşa	1 - 1	Fenerbahçe
16 Feb 2025	Fenerbahçe	3 - 1	Kasımpaşa

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Kasımpaşa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Konyaspor	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Gençlerbirliği S.K.	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Amed	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Başakşehir	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Çorum FK	W	0 - 1

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Eyüpspor	W	8 - 0
14 Sep	A Gaziantep FK	D	0 - 0
10 Sep	H AS Roma	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Beşiktaş	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Samsunspor	W	0 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Amed	6	4	1	1	15	7	+8	13
2	Galatasaray	6	4	1	1	13	10	+3	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14	7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7	4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8	6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16	6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13	5	+8	10
8	Kasımpaşa	6	2	4	0	7	5	+2	10
9	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13	12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10	11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5	13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3	11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11	15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2	16	-14	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.