Estrela vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

21 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Moreirense

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Estrela

57%

30%

13%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Estrela vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Estrela a 57% chance of winning, Moreirense 13% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 19%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Estrela

LDWDW

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Estrela · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Estrela faces Moreirense. Estrela has shown a solid home record, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Conversely, Moreirense has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams will be keen to secure points, with Estrela aiming to capitalize on their scoring ability while Moreirense needs to tighten their defense to avoid dropping crucial points. This matchup could hinge on Estrela's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Moreirense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	6	2
1	19	12	3	1
2	14	8	2
3	7	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Estrela goals · most likely 1–0 (19.0%)

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Players in form

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

Moreirense

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

30%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

30%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.0%	6.3%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
1	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.3%	7.6%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
3	6.7%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estrela	Draw	Moreirense
Estrela	35.0%	3.0%	0.5%
Draw	21.7%	22.5%	6.0%
Moreirense	1.5%	3.0%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estrela vs Moreirense

0 Estrela Wins

2 Draws

1 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	Moreirense	3 - 2	Estrela
20 Dec 2025	Estrela	0 - 0	Moreirense
02 Mar 2025	Moreirense	1 - 1	Estrela

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.