Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24
28 Feb 2027, 16:00
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At a glance

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Benfica
LWWWW
FC Porto
WWLWW
Last 3 meetings Benfica · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Benfica faces FC Porto, two of the league's top teams. Historically, this rivalry has been fiercely contested, with both sides frequently exchanging victories. Benfica's recent form indicates a solid home record, while FC Porto boasts a strong attacking lineup, featuring key players who can exploit defensive gaps. The outcome will likely hinge on midfield control and the effectiveness of each team's set pieces, as both squads have shown vulnerabilities in these areas. Expect a tightly contested match with significant implications for the title race.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
34%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
40%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Benfica
V. Pavlidis 8 gls
G. Prestianni 5 gls
L. Barreiro 2 gls
FC Porto
Gabri Veiga 4 gls
Borja Sainz 3 gls
André Silva 3 gls
William 2 gls

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Head to Head: Benfica vs FC Porto

0 Benfica Wins
2 Draws
1 FC Porto Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Sep 2026 FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica
08 Mar 2026 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto
05 Oct 2025 FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica
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Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Porto L 3 - 1
16 Sep A AC Milan W 0 - 2
13 Sep H GIL Vicente W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Moreirense W 0 - 4
05 Sep A Maritimo W 0 - 3

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Benfica W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Casa Pia W 1 - 4
08 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 2
04 Sep H Moreirense W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Academico Viseu W 0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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