Moreirense vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Casa Pia

Away

AI прогноза Moreirense to win or draw

75%

21%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Moreirense vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Moreirense a 75% chance of winning, Casa Pia 4% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.8%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Moreirense

DWLLW

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Moreirense will host Casa Pia. Moreirense has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, while Casa Pia has been more solid, allowing only 1.1 goals on average. Offensively, Casa Pia has shown better form, with a goals-per-game ratio of 1.5 compared to Moreirense's 1.2. This match could hinge on Casa Pia's ability to exploit Moreirense's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle with both teams looking to secure crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

75%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	3	1
1	21	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Moreirense goals · most likely 1–0 (20.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.8%	7.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	12.6%	3.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	5.9%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Moreirense	Draw	Casa Pia
Moreirense	49.6%	1.6%	0.2%
Draw	25.1%	16.0%	2.2%
Casa Pia	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Moreirense vs Casa Pia

2 Moreirense Wins

1 Draws

0 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Casa Pia	0 - 1	Moreirense
01 Mar 2026	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Moreirense
27 Sep 2025	Moreirense	2 - 1	Casa Pia

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Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.