Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

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FC Porto

Away

AI прогноза FC Porto to win or draw

20%

72%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Arouca vs FC Porto prediction: Sportiko gives Arouca a 8% chance of winning, FC Porto 72% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 72% 72%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Arouca

DLDWL

FC Porto

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings Arouca · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Arouca will face FC Porto. Arouca has shown resilience at home, but they will be challenged by Porto's strong away form, which includes a high possession rate averaging 60% and a goal conversion rate of 15%. Arouca's defense will need to be vigilant, as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Porto's attack, led by their top scorer, has been prolific, averaging over 2 goals per game. This match could hinge on Arouca's ability to disrupt Porto's rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Porto goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	14	11	6	3
1	3	9	9	7	4	2
2	1	3	3	2	1	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Arouca goals · most likely 0–2 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

FC Porto

Gabri Veiga 4 gls

Borja Sainz 3 gls

André Silva 3 gls

William 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

89% Away (No Draw) 11% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	11.5%	14.2%	10.7%	6.0%
1	2.6%	9.4%	9.4%	7.1%	4.0%
2	1.2%	2.7%	3.1%	2.3%	1.3%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arouca	Draw	FC Porto
Arouca	4.6%	2.8%	2.5%
Draw	3.6%	12.3%	22.3%
FC Porto	0.5%	2.6%	48.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arouca vs FC Porto

0 Arouca Wins

0 Draws

3 FC Porto Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Aug 2026	FC Porto	2 - 0	Arouca
27 Feb 2026	FC Porto	3 - 1	Arouca
29 Sep 2025	Arouca	0 - 4	FC Porto

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Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.