Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

27 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Sporting CP

Away

AI прогноза Sporting CP или равен

33%

26%

41%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Benfica vs Sporting CP prediction: Sportiko gives Benfica a 33% chance of winning, Sporting CP 41% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Benfica

LWWWW

Sporting CP

DDWWW

Last 3 meetings Benfica · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Benfica will face Sporting CP, a match characterized by intense rivalry. Historically, Benfica has a strong home record in this fixture, but both teams display solid form, with Benfica averaging 2.2 goals per game this season and Sporting CP maintaining a strong defensive record with only 1.1 goals conceded per match. Key players to watch include Benfica's leading scorer and Sporting CP's defensive stalwart. This encounter will likely hinge on Benfica's attacking prowess against Sporting's organized defense, making for a compelling tactical battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

33%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

41%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sporting CP goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	6	3	1	1
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	4	8	7	4	2	1
3	2	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Benfica goals · most likely 1–1 (11.2%)

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Players in form

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

Sporting CP

L. Suárez 6 gls

Flávio Gonçalves 3 gls

F. Ioannidis 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

33%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

33%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

76%

4.5

24%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	5.0%	5.6%	3.3%	1.5%
1	4.3%	11.2%	8.8%	5.2%	2.3%
2	4.4%	7.8%	7.0%	4.1%	1.8%
3	2.3%	4.1%	3.7%	2.2%	1.0%
4	0.9%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Benfica	Draw	Sporting CP
Benfica	18.5%	4.3%	2.7%
Draw	12.6%	14.3%	13.8%
Sporting CP	2.9%	5.1%	25.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Benfica vs Sporting CP

1 Benfica Wins

2 Draws

0 Sporting CP Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Sporting CP	1 - 2	Benfica
05 Dec 2025	Benfica	1 - 1	Sporting CP
10 May 2025	Benfica	1 - 1	Sporting CP

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arouca	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Famalicao	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Galatasaray	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Nacional	W	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Rio Ave	W	0 - 4

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.