Maritimo vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

29 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Nacional

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Maritimo

56%

27%

17%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Maritimo vs Nacional prediction: Sportiko gives Maritimo a 56% chance of winning, Nacional 17% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Maritimo

DLLLD

Nacional

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Maritimo · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Maritimo faces Nacional. Both teams have struggled with consistency this season, with Maritimo currently sitting lower in the table. Maritimo's defensive record shows vulnerability, having conceded 1.5 goals per game on average, while Nacional has been slightly better offensively, scoring just over 1 goal per game. This match could hinge on Maritimo's ability to tighten their defense and capitalize on any chances created against Nacional's defense, which has also shown weaknesses. The match is crucial for both teams as they aim for valuable points in a competitive league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nacional goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	12	13	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Maritimo goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

27%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

27%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	5.1%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12.0%	12.7%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.5%	9.7%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.6%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%
4	2.8%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maritimo	Draw	Nacional
Maritimo	35.8%	3.7%	1.0%
Draw	19.8%	17.2%	7.0%
Nacional	2.4%	3.8%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maritimo vs Nacional

2 Maritimo Wins

1 Draws

0 Nacional Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Mar 2021	Nacional	1 - 2	Maritimo
31 Oct 2020	Maritimo	0 - 0	Nacional
31 Mar 2019	Maritimo	3 - 2	Nacional

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.