Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

25 Oct 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Casa Pia

Away

AI прогноза Estrela to win or draw

76%

20%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction: Sportiko gives Estrela a 76% chance of winning, Casa Pia 4% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Estrela

LDWDW

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Estrela · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Estrela will face Casa Pia. Estrela's recent form shows a solid home record, with a strong defensive structure allowing only 1.2 goals per match. Casa Pia, on the other hand, has been effective on the road, averaging 1.5 goals scored per away game. Both teams will need to capitalize on set-pieces, as Estrela has struggled defensively in those situations. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can impose their style and control the midfield effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	2
1	20	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Estrela goals · most likely 1–0 (20.3%)

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Players in form

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

49% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	20.3%	7.2%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.0%	3.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.2%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

36%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estrela	Draw	Casa Pia
Estrela	50.5%	1.5%	0.1%
Draw	25.1%	15.3%	2.1%
Casa Pia	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estrela vs Casa Pia

2 Estrela Wins

0 Draws

1 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Mar 2026	Estrela	4 - 0	Casa Pia
01 Nov 2025	Casa Pia	3 - 5	Estrela
09 Feb 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 0	Estrela

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.