FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
AI прогноза Benfica или равен
32%
29%
39%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 32% chance of winning, Benfica 39% and the draw 29%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 21:32.

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  • Гостите да вкарат 76%
  • Домакинът да вкара 72%
  • Под 3.5 гола 71%
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Timeline

Gabri Veiga Yellow Card
5' ▮
▮ 25'
Clément Lenglet Yellow Card
Gabri Veiga assist: Pepê
31' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 34'
Gianluca Prestianni Yellow Card
▮ 35'
Clément Lenglet Red Card
Gabri Veiga ⇄ Hwang In-beom
38' ⇄
⇄ 38'
Georgiy Sudakov ⇄ Alessandro Circati
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 51'
Alexander Bah assist: Gianluca Prestianni
Victor Froholdt assist: André Silva
54' ⚽ 2–1
Hwang In-beom assist: André Silva
60' ⚽ 3–1
Martim Fernandes ⇄ Francisco Moura
69' ⇄
William Gomes ⇄ Borja Sainz
69' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Fredrik Aursnes ⇄ Leandro Barreiro
⇄ 74'
Rafa Silva ⇄ Dodi Lukebakio
⇄ 74'
Gianluca Prestianni ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup
Hwang In-beom Yellow Card
80' ▮
Pepê ⇄ Oskar Pietuszewski
85' ⇄
André Silva ⇄ Samu
85' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Samuel Dahl ⇄ Souffian El Karouani
Oskar Pietuszewski Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
▮ 90+3'
Tomás Araújo Yellow Card
▮ 90+3'
Alexander Bah Yellow Card
FT 3–1
FC Porto

Match Stats

Benfica
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 4
12 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
343 Total passes 425
310 Passes accurate 360
12 Free Kicks 17
FC Porto
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 André Silva F 8.1 85' – 2 5 14 (12%) –
16 Hwang In-beom M 8.0 52' 1 – 1 23 (21%) 2
8 Victor Froholdt M 7.8 90' 1 – 2 14 (14%) 3
11 Pepê F 7.7 85' – 1 2 11 (9%) 2
10 Gabri Veiga M 7.6 38' 1 – 4 9 (8%) 2
4 Jakub Kiwior D 7.0 90' – – – 68 (66%) 1
99 Diogo Costa G 6.9 90' – – – 22 (18%) –
20 Alberto Costa D 6.8 90' – – 1 25 (20%) –
5 Jan Bednarek D 6.8 90' – – 1 75 (73%) 1
13 Pablo Rosario M 6.7 90' – – 2 36 (35%) 3
17 Borja Sainz F 6.5 21' – – – 6 (6%) –
74 Francisco Moura D 6.5 21' – – – 8 (8%) –
9 Samu F 6.4 5' – – – 3 (2%) –
77 Oskar Pietuszewski F 6.3 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
52 Martim Fernandes D 6.3 69' – – 1 12 (8%) –
7 William Gomes F 6.0 69' – – 1 16 (9%) 1
Benfica
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Tomás Araújo D 6.8 90' – – 1 62 (59%) 2
6 Alexander Bah D 6.7 90' 1 – 2 38 (29%) 1
14 Vangelis Pavlidis F 6.6 90' – – 2 24 (19%) 2
24 Samuel Soares G 6.6 90' – – – 23 (17%) 1
3 Alessandro Circati D 6.4 52' – – – 46 (42%) –
21 Andreas Schjelderup F 6.4 16' – – – 10 (6%) –
36 João Palhinha M 6.4 90' – – – 46 (43%) 5
11 Dodi Lukebakio F 6.3 16' – – – 5 (4%) –
27 Rafa Silva M 6.3 74' – – 3 13 (11%) 1
25 Gianluca Prestianni M 6.2 74' – 1 2 30 (25%) 1
34 Souffian El Karouani D 6.1 5' – – – 2 (2%) 1
8 Fredrik Aursnes M 6.0 74' – – – 30 (25%) 2
26 Samuel Dahl D 6.0 85' – – – 49 (37%) 1
10 Georgiy Sudakov M 5.9 38' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
18 Leandro Barreiro M 5.8 16' – – – 6 (6%) –
2 Clément Lenglet D 5.5 35' – – 1 31 (27%) 1
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Benfica или равен
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FC Porto
WWLWW
Benfica
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings FC Porto · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, FC Porto will face Benfica in a high-stakes rivalry match. Both teams are traditionally strong, with Porto holding a slight edge in defensive solidity, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game this season compared to Benfica’s 1.2. However, Benfica boasts a more potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game, which could challenge Porto's backline. Key players to watch include Porto's central defenders and Benfica's top scorer, who will look to exploit any defensive lapses. This match promises to be a tactical battle that could significantly impact the league standings.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FC Porto leads 3-1. Win probability: 98.8%. Comeback chance: 1.2%.

60' Goal 85% sure

FC Porto now leads 3-1 with 96.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 53.6%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. FC Porto win: 78.6%. BTTS: 100%.

52' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 48.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. FC Porto leads. Win probability: 76%. Over 0.5 more goals: 67.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
39%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Porto
Gabri Veiga 4 gls
Borja Sainz 3 gls
André Silva 3 gls
William 2 gls
Benfica
V. Pavlidis 8 gls
G. Prestianni 5 gls
L. Barreiro 2 gls

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Head to Head: FC Porto vs Benfica

0 FC Porto Wins
2 Draws
1 Benfica Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2026 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto
05 Oct 2025 FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica
06 Apr 2025 FC Porto 1 - 4 Benfica
See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Benfica W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Casa Pia W 1 - 4
08 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 2
04 Sep H Moreirense W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Academico Viseu W 0 - 3

Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Porto L 3 - 1
16 Sep A AC Milan W 0 - 2
13 Sep H GIL Vicente W 3 - 1
09 Sep A Moreirense W 0 - 4
05 Sep A Maritimo W 0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Benfica

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Marco Silva
24 Soares
26 Dahl
2 Lenglet
44 Araújo
6 Bah
36 Palhinha
8 Aursnes
25 Prestianni
10 Sudakov
27 Rafa
14 Pavlidis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Samuel Soares G
6 A. Bah D
44 Tomás Araújo D
2 C. Lenglet D
26 S. Dahl D
8 F. Aursnes M
36 João Palhinha M
27 Rafa M
10 H. Sudakov M
25 G. Prestianni M
14 V. Pavlidis F

Substitutes

3 A. Circati D
22 J. Durán F
30 C. Echeverri M
34 S. El Karouani D
72 A. Cabral F
58 Daniel Banjaqui D
13 J. Kamiński F
11 D. Lukebakio F
21 A. Schjelderup F
16 Manu M
1 A. Trubin G
18 L. Barreiro M

FC Porto

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Farioli
99 Costa
52 Fernandes
4 Kiwior
5 Bednarek
20 Baio
10 Veiga
13 Rosario
8 Froholdt
11 Aquino
19 Silva
7 William

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Diogo Costa G
20 Alberto Baio D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
52 Martim Fernandes D
8 Victor Mow Froholdt M
13 P. Rosario M
10 Gabri Veiga M
7 William F
19 André Silva F
11 Pepê Aquino F

Substitutes

37 Gabriel Mec F
64 Luís Gomes D
29 S. Giménez F
16 Hwang In-Beom M
9 Samu F
77 O. Pietuszewski F
14 Cláudio Ramos G
21 D. Prpić D
17 Borja Sainz F
74 Francisco Moura D
22 A. Varela M
33 Souza D

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