AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

21 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за AZ Alkmaar

60%

24%

16%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, Excelsior 16% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium прогнози

Premium

Виждаш безплатния резултат 1X2 — най-прецизните прогнози на ИИ за всички 70+ пазара са Premium.

72%

Виж Premium анализите

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Регистрирай се безплатно

Вече имаш акаунт? Влез

Premium

Отключи пълния AI анализ за AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
AI задълбочен анализ на мача
Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
Pick types you choose

Премини към Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will host Excelsior. AZ has shown strong form this season, currently positioned well in the league standings, boasting a solid home record with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match. Excelsior, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, with a significant drop in scoring efficiency, averaging just 0.8 goals per away match. Given AZ's offensive strength and Excelsior's defensive vulnerabilities, the matchup favors the home side, making them the likely favorites to secure three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	9	11	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	7	3	1
4	4	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Защо тази прогноза? · Premium AI Задълбочен анализ · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.4%	11.3%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.8%	10.1%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.3%	6.8%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.7%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar	39.8%	3.7%	1.1%
Draw	19.5%	14.3%	6.3%
Excelsior	2.8%	3.7%	8.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

1 Draws

0 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Excelsior	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
21 Jan 2026	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	Excelsior
10 Mar 2024	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 0	Excelsior

See all 10 meetings — Premium

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.