AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Sparta Rotterdam

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI прогноза AZ Alkmaar to win or draw

67%

23%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 67% chance of winning, Sparta Rotterdam 10% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie match, AZ Alkmaar faces off against Sparta Rotterdam. AZ has shown strong form at home this season, boasting a solid attack averaging 2.1 goals per match, while maintaining a defensive record of just 0.9 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Sparta Rotterdam struggles on the road, with only 1.2 goals scored per match. Their defense is slightly leaky, allowing 1.5 goals per game. Given these statistics, AZ Alkmaar is favored to secure a win with their offensive prowess and tighter defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sparta Rotterdam goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	14	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 2–0 (14.5%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	3.6%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.6%	10.7%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.5%	9.3%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%
3	9.5%	6.1%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.6%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar	44.2%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	22.0%	15.1%	4.5%
Sparta Rotterdam	2.2%	3.0%	5.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

0 Draws

1 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
02 Nov 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	0 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
26 Jan 2025	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 2	Sparta Rotterdam

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.