NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Sparta Rotterdam

Away

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за NEC Nijmegen

63%

26%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Sportiko gives NEC Nijmegen a 63% chance of winning, Sparta Rotterdam 10% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen faces Sparta Rotterdam in a crucial Eredivisie clash. NEC has shown a solid home record, with a recent average of 1.5 goals per match, while maintaining a defensive line that concedes around 1 goal per game. Sparta Rotterdam, on the other hand, has been inconsistent on the road, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in away matches. This matchup could hinge on NEC's ability to capitalize on their home form against a Sparta side that struggles defensively outside of their own ground. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams needing points for their respective league ambitions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sparta Rotterdam goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	5	2
1	18	11	3
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 1–0 (17.6%)

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Players in form

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

Sparta Rotterdam

M. Zonneveld 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	4.8%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
1	17.6%	11.3%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.5%	8.2%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	8.5%	4.5%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.5%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen	40.3%	2.8%	0.5%
Draw	22.4%	19.0%	4.9%
Sparta Rotterdam	1.7%	2.9%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam

1 NEC Nijmegen Wins

1 Draws

1 Sparta Rotterdam Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Feb 2026	Sparta Rotterdam	1 - 1	NEC Nijmegen
29 Nov 2025	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 1	Sparta Rotterdam
06 Apr 2025	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 0	NEC Nijmegen

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NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Sparta Rotterdam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heerenveen	L	0 - 4
13 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	L	4 - 1
04 Sep	H PEC Zwolle	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Excelsior	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Utrecht	D	3 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.