Heerenveen vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Willem II

Away

Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Heerenveen

59%

24%

17%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Heerenveen vs Willem II prediction: Sportiko gives Heerenveen a 59% chance of winning, Willem II 17% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.4%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Heerenveen

WDLDL

Willem II

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings Heerenveen · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Heerenveen enters this matchup against Willem II with a solid home record, showcasing their ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities. They have averaged 1.5 goals per game this season, with a strong focus on possession-based football. Conversely, Willem II has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in away fixtures. Heerenveen's midfield dominance could play a critical role, particularly in controlling the game's tempo and creating scoring chances. The outcome may hinge on whether Willem II can tighten their defense and exploit counter-attacking opportunities effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Willem II goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	4	3	1
1	9	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	7	3	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Heerenveen goals · most likely 1–1 (11.4%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	3.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	8.7%	11.4%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.0%	10.1%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
3	6.7%	6.8%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.4%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Heerenveen	Draw	Willem II
Heerenveen	38.6%	3.9%	1.3%
Draw	18.9%	14.3%	6.9%
Willem II	2.8%	3.8%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Heerenveen vs Willem II

2 Heerenveen Wins

1 Draws

0 Willem II Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Willem II	2 - 2	Heerenveen
04 Apr 2025	Heerenveen	3 - 1	Willem II
08 Dec 2024	Willem II	1 - 2	Heerenveen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Heerenveen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Telstar	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Willem II	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H PEC Zwolle	L	0 - 2

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.