AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 21

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Feyenoord

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI прогноза Feyenoord или равен

28%

26%

46%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 28% chance of winning, Feyenoord 46% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Feyenoord

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar hosts Feyenoord in a matchup between two competitive sides. AZ has shown strong form at home, with a solid record of scoring, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Feyenoord, however, boasts the league’s best defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. The tactical battle will likely center around AZ's attacking prowess against Feyenoord's organized defense. Key players to watch include AZ's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Feyenoord's standout center-back, crucial for maintaining defensive solidity. Expect a tightly contested match that could hinge on individual brilliance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Feyenoord goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	7	4	2	1
1	5	12	9	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

Feyenoord

G. Zechiël 5 gls

A. Hadj-Moussa 5 gls

L. Valente 4 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Home Win

28%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Home Win

28%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 28% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.8%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
1	4.8%	12.3%	9.5%	5.5%	2.4%
2	4.1%	7.2%	6.3%	3.7%	1.6%
3	1.8%	3.2%	2.8%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar	16.0%	4.5%	2.7%
Draw	10.3%	15.4%	15.6%
Feyenoord	2.0%	4.6%	28.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord

0 AZ Alkmaar Wins

2 Draws

1 Feyenoord Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Feyenoord	1 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
21 Sep 2025	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 3	Feyenoord
05 Apr 2025	AZ Alkmaar	0 - 1	Feyenoord

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Feyenoord — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Utrecht	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A PEC Zwolle	W	0 - 7
09 Sep	A Barcelona	L	5 - 1
05 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	H ADO Den Haag	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.