AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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PSV Eindhoven

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за PSV Eindhoven

24%

25%

51%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 24% chance of winning, PSV Eindhoven 51% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

PSV Eindhoven

LWDWW

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will face PSV Eindhoven, both teams showcasing strong attacking capabilities. AZ has averaged 1.8 goals per match this season, relying on a solid midfield to control possession. Meanwhile, PSV boasts an impressive offensive record, scoring approximately 2.5 goals per match, driven by their dynamic forward line. Defensively, AZ has shown resilience, conceding an average of 1 goal per match, while PSV's backline has been more vulnerable, allowing 1.4 goals per match. This matchup promises to be a test of AZ's defensive organization against PSV's prolific attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PSV Eindhoven goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	8	5	2	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	3	3	2	1
4		1	1	1
5

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

PSV Eindhoven

S. Mijnans 4 gls

G. Til 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

25%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

25%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	6.8%	7.9%	5.1%	2.4%
1	4.0%	11.5%	9.8%	6.3%	3.1%
2	3.3%	6.4%	6.2%	4.0%	1.9%
3	1.4%	2.7%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar	13.4%	4.3%	3.0%
Draw	8.8%	14.4%	16.9%
PSV Eindhoven	1.8%	4.4%	33.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven

1 AZ Alkmaar Wins

0 Draws

2 PSV Eindhoven Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Aug 2026	PSV Eindhoven	0 - 4	AZ Alkmaar
07 Mar 2026	PSV Eindhoven	2 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
09 Nov 2025	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 5	PSV Eindhoven

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

PSV Eindhoven — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Twente	L	3 - 2
13 Sep	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	H Shakhtar Donetsk	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Ajax	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Utrecht	W	1 - 6

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.