Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 16:45

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AZ Alkmaar

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Feyenoord

59%

24%

17%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives Feyenoord a 59% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 17% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Feyenoord

WWLWD

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Last 3 meetings Feyenoord · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Feyenoord faces AZ Alkmaar in a critical Eredivisie matchup. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities this season, with Feyenoord averaging 2.1 goals per game and AZ not far behind at 1.8. Defensively, Feyenoord has a slight edge, conceding only 1 goal per match compared to AZ's 1.3. Set-pieces and midfield control will likely play pivotal roles, as both teams excel in creating chances from these situations. The outcome may hinge on individual performances, particularly from key forwards.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AZ Alkmaar goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2	1
1	8	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	7	7	4	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ Feyenoord goals · most likely 1–1 (11.0%)

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Players in form

Feyenoord

G. Zechiël 5 gls

A. Hadj-Moussa 5 gls

L. Valente 4 gls

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	3.4%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	8.0%	11.0%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.7%	10.1%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.7%	7.0%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%
4	3.5%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Feyenoord	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord	39.0%	3.9%	1.3%
Draw	18.8%	13.7%	6.8%
AZ Alkmaar	3.0%	3.9%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar

1 Feyenoord Wins

2 Draws

0 AZ Alkmaar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Feyenoord	1 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
21 Sep 2025	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 3	Feyenoord
05 Apr 2025	AZ Alkmaar	0 - 1	Feyenoord

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Feyenoord — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Utrecht	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A PEC Zwolle	W	0 - 7
09 Sep	A Barcelona	L	5 - 1
05 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	H ADO Den Haag	D	2 - 2

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.