Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
AI прогноза Excelsior или равен
31%
27%
42%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Willem II vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Willem II a 31% chance of winning, Excelsior 42% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 20:52.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'
David Garden assist: Irakli Yegoian
⚽ 0–2 34'
Rick Meissen assist: Simon Janssen
Eser Gürbüz ⇄ T. Vilhena
45' ⇄
Mats Lemmens ⇄ Maxim Dekker
45' ⇄
HT 0–2
Kasper Boogaard Yellow Card
51' ▮
Kasper Boogaard ⇄ Thomas Verheydt
63' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Aymen Sliti ⇄ Ilano Silva Timas
⇄ 65'
Eric da Silva Moreira ⇄ Daniel van Vianen
⇄ 71'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ⇄ Nesto Groen
Jaden Slory Yellow Card
81' ▮
⇄ 82'
David Garden ⇄ Giuliano Cairo
Jaden Slory ⇄ O. Martin
82' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 85'
Irakli Yegoian assist: Stijn van Gassel
▮ 87'
Nesto Groen Yellow Card
FT 0–3
Willem II

Match Stats

Excelsior
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
505 Total passes 362
419 Passes accurate 280
13 Free Kicks 10
Willem II
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 7.5 90' – – 2 41 (36%) 3
28 Thomas Verheydt F 6.7 27' – – 2 7 (3%) –
52 T. Vilhena M 6.6 44' – – 1 30 (26%) 1
7 Jaden Slory M 6.5 82' – – 2 22 (20%) 3
6 Calvin Twigt M 6.4 90' – – 2 67 (56%) –
3 Finn Stam D 6.4 90' – – – 78 (68%) –
5 Hidde ter Avest D 6.3 90' – – – 62 (48%) 2
23 Maxim Dekker D 6.3 44' – – – 41 (39%) –
9 Devin Haen F 6.2 90' – – 4 12 (8%) –
50 Eser Gürbüz M 6.1 46' – – – 12 (10%) –
8 Kasper Boogaard M 6.0 63' – – 1 29 (26%) 2
83 Mats Lemmens D 6.0 46' – – – 39 (32%) 1
26 M. Delanghe G 5.9 90' – – – 34 (22%) –
17 O. Martin F 5.9 8' – – – – –
19 Uriel van Aalst M 5.7 90' – – 2 29 (24%) –
Excelsior
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Irakli Yegoian M 9.0 90' 1 1 4 32 (29%) 1
3 Rick Meissen D 8.7 90' 1 – 1 36 (32%) –
4 Casper Widell D 7.9 90' – – – 52 (40%) –
14 Jan Plug D 7.8 90' – – 1 54 (48%) 2
15 Simon Janssen D 7.6 90' – 1 – 41 (34%) –
19 David Garden F 7.6 82' 1 – 2 13 (8%) –
1 Stijn van Gassel G 7.3 90' – 1 – 39 (20%) –
20 Lennard Hartjes M 7.1 90' – – 2 32 (29%) –
2 Eric da Silva Moreira D 7.0 65' – – 1 17 (10%) 1
6 Daniel van Vianen M 7.0 25' – – – 7 (4%) –
24 Giuliano Cairo M 6.8 8' – – – – –
7 Aymen Sliti M 6.7 64' – – 1 11 (6%) 1
21 Ilano Silva Timas F 6.5 26' – – – 4 (3%) 1
30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson M 6.3 71' – – – 23 (17%) 1
28 Nesto Groen F 6.3 19' – – – 1 –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Excelsior или равен
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Willem II
LLDLD
Excelsior
DLDWW
Last 3 meetings Willem II · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Willem II faces Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where both teams will look to secure vital points. Willem II has shown a solid defensive record this season, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Excelsior's attack has been inconsistent, scoring only 1 goal per game on average. The match could hinge on Willem II’s ability to exploit Excelsior's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on set pieces. Additionally, the effectiveness of both teams in transitioning from defense to attack could play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
42%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Willem II

No scorer data.

Excelsior
A. Sliti 3 gls

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Head to Head: Willem II vs Excelsior

0 Willem II Wins
2 Draws
1 Excelsior Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Apr 2019 Excelsior 1 - 1 Willem II
15 Sep 2018 Willem II 2 - 2 Excelsior
06 Apr 2018 Excelsior 2 - 1 Willem II
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Willem II — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Fortuna Sittard L 0 - 1
15 Sep A Ajax L 5 - 1
11 Sep A AZ Alkmaar D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Excelsior L 0 - 3
30 Aug H Heerenveen D 2 - 2

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Ajax D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Utrecht L 1 - 2
08 Sep A NEC Nijmegen D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Willem II W 0 - 3
29 Aug H Sparta Rotterdam W 2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
7 6 1 0 +12 19
2
Feyenoord
7 5 2 0 +18 17
3
PSV Eindhoven
7 5 1 1 +14 16
4
Twente
7 5 1 1 +8 16
5
Ajax
7 4 2 1 +12 14
6
Fortuna Sittard
7 4 1 2 -1 13
7
Excelsior
7 3 2 2 +6 11
8
Groningen
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 4 1 +2 10
10
Heerenveen
7 2 3 2 +2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 2 4 -7 5
13
Telstar
7 1 2 4 -7 5
14
Cambuur
7 1 2 4 -9 5
15
Utrecht
7 1 2 4 -13 5
16
PEC Zwolle
7 1 1 5 -14 4
17
ADO Den Haag
7 0 2 5 -10 2
18
Willem II
7 0 2 5 -14 2

Excelsior

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: R. den Uil
1 Gassel
15 Janssen
14 Plug
4 Widell
3 Meissen
2 Moreira
30 Þorsteinsson
20 Hartjes
8 Yegoian
7 Sliti
19 Garden

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. van Gassel G
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira D
3 R. Meissen D
4 C. Widell D
14 J. Plug D
15 S. Janssen D
7 A. Sliti M
8 I. Yegoian M
20 L. Hartjes M
30 Á. Þorsteinsson M
19 D. Garden F

Substitutes

6 D. van Vianen M
22 O. Turay D
18 V. Sulzbacher M
21 I. Silva Timas F
40 Tijmen Holla G
28 N. Groen F
23 Y. Finey M
9 Mario Domínguez F
24 Giulliano Cairo M
12 K. Bos F

Willem II

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Stegeman
26 Delanghe
24 Tjoe-A-On
83 Lemmens
3 Stam
5 Avest
6 Twigt
8 Boogaard
7 Slory
19 Aalst
50 Gürbüz
9 Haen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Delanghe G
5 H. ter Avest D
3 F. Stam D
83 M. Lemmens D
24 N. Tjoe-A-On D
8 K. Boogaard M
6 C. Twigt M
50 E. Gürbüz M
19 Uriel van Aalst M
7 J. Slory M
9 D. Haen F

Substitutes

2 A. Ciranni D
23 M. Dekker D
31 K. de Leeuw G
15 A. Et-Taïbi D
14 Jens Mathijsen D
17 O. Martin F
21 W. van der Steen G
22 Per van Loon M
28 T. Verheydt F
52 T. Vilhena M

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