PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4

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NEC Nijmegen

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за NEC Nijmegen

22%

26%

53%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: Sportiko gives PEC Zwolle a 22% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 53% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 20:56.

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Гостите да вкарат 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
1st Half Home or Draw 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Tjaronn Chery Penalty

⚽ 0–2 23'

Tjaronn Chery Penalty

Sherel Constancio Floranus Goal Disallowed - offside

38' 🖵

Koen Kostons Penalty

45+1' ⚽ 1–2

HT 1–2

⇄ 46'

Deveron Fonville ⇄ Almugera Kabar

Koen Kostons Goal Disallowed - offside

58' 🖵

▮ 63'

Almugera Kabar Yellow Card

Elias Sørensen ⇄ Ibrahim Cissoko

64' ⇄

Thijs Oosting ⇄ Gabriel Reiziger

64' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Adam Tahaui ⇄ Emre Mor

⇄ 67'

Clement Bischoff ⇄ Willum Thor Willumsson

▮ 70'

Dušan Tadić Yellow Card

Koen Kostons Missed Penalty

72' ✗

▮ 73'

Tobias Storm Yellow Card

⇄ 80'

Bram Nuytinck ⇄ P. Schuurs

⇄ 80'

Bryan Linssen ⇄ Brayann Pereira

⚽ 1–3 83'

P. Schuurs assist: Tjaronn Chery

Tobias Sommer ⇄ Odysseus Velanas

86' ⇄

Olivier Aertssen Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

FT 1–3

PEC Zwolle

Match Stats

NEC Nijmegen

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.98 Expected Goals (xG) 2.01

9 Total Shots 9

2 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 2

7 Shots insidebox 7

2 Shots outsidebox 2

6 Corner Kicks 7

4 Offsides 0

16 Fouls 12

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

367 Total passes 331

257 Passes accurate 220

70% Passes % 66%

0.03 goals_prevented 0.03

PEC Zwolle

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Ibrahim Cissoko F	7.2	28'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
28 Simon Graves D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	2
11 Dylan Mbayo M	6.9	92'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	–
9 Elias Sørensen M	6.7	64'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	2
3 Olivier Aertssen D	6.6	92'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	4
30 Ryan Thomas M	6.5	92'	–	–	1	31 (24%)	–
8 Tobias Sommer M	6.3	86'	–	–	1	41 (27%)	2
2 Sherel Constancio Floranus D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	41 (24%)	4
20 Gabriel Reiziger M	6.2	28'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
25 Thijs Oosting M	6.0	64'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
10 Koen Kostons F	5.9	92'	1	–	4	18 (7%)	–
24 Nick Viergever D	5.9	92'	–	–	–	57 (46%)	1
1 Jasper Schendelaar G	5.2	92'	–	–	–	55 (34%)	–
18 Odysseus Velanas M	—	6'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

NEC Nijmegen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Tjaronn Chery F	8.5	92'	2	–	3	31 (25%)	–
4 P. Schuurs D	7.7	12'	1	–	1	3 (1%)	–
66 Almugera Kabar D	7.0	47'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	2
20 Noe Lebreton M	6.7	92'	–	–	1	35 (27%)	1
30 Bryan Linssen F	6.7	80'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	1
2 Brayann Pereira D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
11 Willum Thor Willumsson M	6.6	25'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
17 Bram Nuytinck D	6.6	80'	–	–	–	28 (15%)	–
21 Tobias Storm D	6.5	92'	–	–	1	32 (21%)	2
10 Dušan Tadić F	6.5	92'	–	1	–	26 (17%)	–
35 Jamiro Monteiro M	6.3	92'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	4
1 Gonzalo Crettaz G	6.3	92'	–	–	–	44 (15%)	–
7 Emre Mor F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
99 Clement Bischoff M	6.2	67'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	–
19 Adam Tahaui M	6.2	67'	–	–	1	14 (9%)	2
24 Deveron Fonville D	5.6	45'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за NEC Nijmegen

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, PEC Zwolle will face NEC Nijmegen. Zwolle has shown a solid home record in previous seasons, while NEC has struggled on the road, which could impact their performance. Both teams have had mixed starts to the season, but Zwolle's attacking prowess, highlighted by their recent goal-scoring form, may give them the edge. NEC will need to tighten their defense to contain Zwolle's forwards and capitalize on counter-attacks to secure points. This match will be crucial for both teams to establish momentum early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

53%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	13	10	5	2
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	4	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

26%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.7%	13.4%	10.3%	4.7%	1.6%
1	7.6%	14.3%	8.7%	4.0%	1.4%
2	3.9%	5.3%	3.6%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PEC Zwolle	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle	12.0%	4.4%	2.4%
Draw	9.4%	21.3%	21.3%
NEC Nijmegen	0.9%	3.3%	25.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen

0 PEC Zwolle Wins

1 Draws

2 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 1	PEC Zwolle
25 Oct 2025	PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	NEC Nijmegen
11 Jan 2025	PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	NEC Nijmegen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

PEC Zwolle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

1 Schendelaar

2 Floranus

24 Viergever

28 Graves

3 Aertssen

8 Sommer

30 Thomas

9 Sørensen

25 Oosting

11 Mbayo

10 Kostons

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Schendelaar	G
3	O. Aertssen	D
28	S. Graves	D
24	N. Viergever	D
2	S. Floranus	D
30	R. Thomas	M
8	T. Sommer	M
11	D. Mbayo	M
25	T. Oosting	M
9	E. Sørensen	M
10	K. Kostons	F

Substitutes

16	T. de Graaff	G
34	N. Fichtinger	M
22	I. Cissoko	F
26	Jadiel Pereira da Gama	M
20	G. Reiziger	M
18	O. Velanas	M
4	T. Velthuis	D
41	D. Verduin	G
33	D. van der Haar	D

NEC Nijmegen

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: David Pagou

1 Crettaz

24 Fonville

17 Nuytinck

21 Storm

99 Bischoff

20 Lebreton

35 Monteiro

19 Tahaui

10 Tadić

30 Linssen

9 Chery

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	G. Crettaz	G
21	T. Storm	D
17	B. Nuytinck	D
24	Deveron Fonville	D
19	Adam Tahaui	M
35	Jamiro Monteiro	M
20	N. Lebreton	M
99	Clement Bischoff	M
10	D. Tadić	M
9	T. Chery	F
30	B. Linssen	F

Substitutes

73	Gabriel Brás	D
36	Freek Entius	G
8	I. Hansen-Aarøen	M
66	Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar	D
34	Kevin Kers	F
14	K. Sierhuis	F
32	V. van Crooij	M
11	W. Willumsson	M
4	P. Schuurs	D
12	N. Polster	G
2	B. Pereira	D
7	E. Mor	F