Monaco vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

02 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Nice

Away

Stade Louis-II, Monaco

AI прогноза Monaco to win or draw

77%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Monaco vs Nice prediction: Sportiko gives Monaco a 77% chance of winning, Nice 4% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.6%

Both teams to score

26%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Monaco

WDWWW

Nice

WLDLD

Last 3 meetings Monaco · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Monaco faces Nice in a crucial Ligue 1 clash, set to take place on January 2, 2027. Both teams have shown competitive form in the league, with Monaco currently positioned higher in the standings. Historically, Monaco has a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Nice's defense has been solid, conceding only 1.0 goals per match. This match could hinge on Monaco's ability to break through Nice's organized defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Nice will aim to exploit any vulnerabilities in Monaco's backline during counter-attacks. Expect a closely contested match with key implications for both teams' league positions.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

77%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nice goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2	1
1	18	7	1
2	20	7	1
3	13	5	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Monaco goals · most likely 2–0 (19.6%)

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Players in form

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

Nice

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.5%	7.4%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.6%	6.7%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.3%	4.5%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.7%	2.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monaco	Draw	Nice
Monaco	52.7%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	23.8%	14.1%	2.3%
Nice	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

71%

24%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monaco vs Nice

1 Monaco Wins

2 Draws

0 Nice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Nice	0 - 0	Monaco
05 Oct 2025	Monaco	2 - 2	Nice
29 Mar 2025	Monaco	2 - 1	Nice

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.