Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Estac Troyes

Away

Parc des Princes, Paris

AI прогноза Paris Saint Germain to win or draw

69%

20%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 69% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 10% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) will host Estac Troyes. PSG currently boasts a strong attacking lineup, led by key players who have consistently contributed to their goal tally, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. With PSG's high possession rates and pressing style, they are likely to dominate the midfield and create numerous scoring opportunities. Expect PSG to assert their offensive prowess against a Troyes side that needs to improve its defensive organization to stand a chance in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	1
1	10	10	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	10	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Paris Saint Germain goals · most likely 2–0 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

20%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	2.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	10.2%	9.7%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%
2	12.8%	9.7%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.7%	7.3%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
4	5.5%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paris Saint Germain	Draw	Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain	49.1%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	19.5%	12.3%	3.6%
Estac Troyes	2.6%	3.3%	6.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

1 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 May 2023	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Paris Saint Germain
29 Oct 2022	Paris Saint Germain	4 - 3	Estac Troyes
08 May 2022	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 2	Estac Troyes

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.