Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Paris Saint Germain

13%

23%

63%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Strasbourg a 13% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 63% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 12%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Strasbourg

LDWWL

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Strasbourg faces Paris Saint-Germain. PSG currently leads the league with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.5 goals per match, while Strasbourg sits mid-table, struggling defensively with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game. Strasbourg will need to tighten their backline to limit PSG's scoring opportunities and capitalize on counter-attacks. Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, which could play a psychological role. Expect a tactical battle where PSG will aim to control possession and exploit gaps in Strasbourg’s defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	12	8	4	2
1	4	11	10	7	3	1
2	2	4	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Strasbourg goals · most likely 0–2 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

23%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

23%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

83% Away (No Draw) 17% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	10.6%	12.0%	8.1%	4.1%
1	3.6%	11.1%	10.0%	6.8%	3.4%
2	2.0%	4.1%	4.1%	2.8%	1.4%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Strasbourg	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg	8.4%	3.9%	2.7%
Draw	4.7%	14.2%	19.1%
Paris Saint Germain	0.7%	3.1%	43.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain

1 Strasbourg Wins

1 Draws

1 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Strasbourg	1 - 2	Paris Saint Germain
17 Oct 2025	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 3	Strasbourg
03 May 2025	Strasbourg	2 - 1	Paris Saint Germain

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Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.