Lens vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Lyon

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Lyon

21%

25%

54%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lens vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Lens a 21% chance of winning, Lyon 54% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Lens

LDWLL

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Lens · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lens faces Lyon, both teams looking to improve their standings. Lens has shown solid defensive resilience this season, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Lyon's attack ranks among the league's best, averaging 1.8 goals per game. The matchup will hinge on Lens's ability to contain Lyon's offensive threats, particularly their top scorer, who has netted 5 goals in the last 6 matches. Additionally, Lens will need to leverage their midfield to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Overall, this match promises to be tightly contested, with both teams aiming for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	8	9	6	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

25%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	7.6%	8.7%	5.6%	2.7%
1	4.0%	11.7%	10.0%	6.5%	3.1%
2	3.1%	5.9%	5.8%	3.7%	1.8%
3	1.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.4%	0.7%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Lyon
Lens	13.1%	4.8%	3.4%
Draw	7.3%	14.5%	18.5%
Lyon	1.3%	3.7%	33.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Lyon

1 Lens Wins

1 Draws

1 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Lyon	0 - 4	Lens
05 Mar 2026	Lyon	2 - 2	Lens
16 Aug 2025	Lens	0 - 1	Lyon

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.