Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Marseille

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Marseille

20%

28%

52%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Estac Troyes vs Marseille prediction: Sportiko gives Estac Troyes a 20% chance of winning, Marseille 52% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Marseille

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Estac Troyes will face Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash on October 10, 2026. Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, which could be exploited by Marseille's potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Conversely, Troyes' home form has been inconsistent, with only 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Marseille's away performance shows resilience, with a solid record of 3 wins in their last 5 away fixtures. This match could hinge on Troyes' ability to tighten their defense against a dynamic Marseille side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Marseille goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	10	6	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Estac Troyes goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

28%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

72% Away (No Draw) 28% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	11.5%	10.5%	5.6%	2.3%
1	5.8%	13.4%	9.6%	5.1%	2.1%
2	3.4%	5.4%	4.4%	2.3%	0.9%
3	1.0%	1.6%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estac Troyes	Draw	Marseille
Estac Troyes	11.2%	4.0%	2.3%
Draw	8.2%	18.1%	18.7%
Marseille	1.2%	3.9%	32.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Marseille

0 Estac Troyes Wins

1 Draws

2 Marseille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Apr 2023	Marseille	3 - 1	Estac Troyes
11 Jan 2023	Estac Troyes	0 - 2	Marseille
27 Feb 2022	Estac Troyes	1 - 1	Marseille

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.